Win probabilities: THE NORTHERN TRUST

2019 THE NORTHERN TRUST, End of Round 2. Top 10 win probabilities: Dustin Johnson (1, -12, 30.5%) Jon Rahm (T3, -10, 13.2%)  Rory McIlroy (T7, -9, 9.7%)  Jordan Spieth (2, -11, 7%)  Justin Rose (T7, -9, 6.3%)  Patrick Reed (T3, -10, 6.2%)  Abraham Ancer (T3, -10, 4.5%)  Louis Oosthuizen (T7, -9, 3.7%)  Troy Merritt (T3, -10, 2.8%)  Andrew Putnam (T7, -9, 2.7%) Top 5 FedExCup Win Probabilities: Rory McIlroy: 19.9% Dustin Johnson: 18.0% Brooks Koepka: 12.4% Jon Rahm: 10.4% Patrick Cantlay 5.8% NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of THE NORTHERN TRUST, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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Regions Tradition
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN
Steve Stricker+350
Steven Alker+750
Padraig Harrington+900
Stewart Cink+900
Miguel Angel Jimenez+1600
Stephen Ames+1600
Jerry Kelly+1800
Ernie Els+2000
David Toms+2500
KJ Choi+2800
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Cognizant Founders Cup
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN
Nelly Korda+350
Atthaya Thitikul+1600
Brooke Henderson+1600
Jin Young Ko+1800
Hae Ran Ryu+2200
Nasa Hataoka+2500
Sei Young Kim+2500
Hannah Green+3000
Lydia Ko+3000
Hye Jin Choi+3300
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Scottie Scheffler Specials
Type: Scottie Scheffler Specials – Status: OPEN
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & US Open (Top 10 Finish)+115
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish)+125
US Open (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish)+135
PGA Championship (Top 5 Finish) & The Open (Top 5 Finish)+200
US Open (Top 5 Finish) & The Open (Top 5 Finish)+210
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & US Open (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish)+240
PGA Championship (Top 5 Finish) & US Open (Top 5 Finish)+280
PGA Championship (Top 5 Finish) & US Open (Top 5 Finish) & The Open (Top 5 Finish)+750
Win PGA Championship & US Open+1400
Win US Open & The Open+1800
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Wells Fargo Championship
Type: Winner – Status: SUSPENDED
Rory McIlroy+700
Xander Schauffele+800
Wyndham Clark+1400
Patrick Cantlay+1600
Collin Morikawa+1800
Max Homa+2000
Cameron Young+2200
Tommy Fleetwood+2200
Viktor Hovland+2200
Justin Thomas+2500
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PGA Championship 2024
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+350
Jon Rahm+1200
Rory McIlroy+1200
Brooks Koepka+1600
Ludvig Aberg+1600
Xander Schauffele+2000
Bryson DeChambeau+2500
Cameron Smith+2500
Collin Morikawa+2500
Max Homa+2500
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Requests
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy – RBC Canadian Open Winner+1000
Miles Russell – Win a Major before 30th birthday+1200
Scottie Scheffler & Nelly Korda – Win All Remaining 2024 Majors+50000
US Open 2024
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+350
Jon Rahm+1200
Rory McIlroy+1200
Ludvig Aberg+1600
Collin Morikawa+2000
Viktor Hovland+2000
Brooks Koepka+2500
Cameron Smith+2500
Patrick Cantlay+2500
Xander Schauffele+2500
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The Open Championship 2024
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+500
Jon Rahm+1000
Rory McIlroy+1000
Viktor Hovland+1100
Brooks Koepka+2000
Cameron Smith+2000
Cameron Young+2000
Collin Morikawa+2000
Ludvig Aberg+2000
Jordan Spieth+2500
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Requests
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN
The Open Championship – Alex Noren – Top 20 Finish+200
Solheim Cup 2024
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN
USA-140
Europe+135
Tie+1200
Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN
USA-135
Europe+135
Tie+1000