2021 John Deere Classic, Round 2 Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Luke List (1, -13, 16.9%) 2. Sebastian Munoz (2, -12, 12.2%) 3. Lucas Glover (T3, -11, 7.6%) 4. Ryan Moore (T3, -11, 7.3%) 5. Chez Reavie (T3, -11, 7.2%) 6. Chase Seiffert (T3, -11, 4.7%) 7. Brandon Hagy (T3, -11, 4.6%) 8. Russell Henley (T12, -9, 3.8%) 9. Patrick Rodgers (T10, -10, 3.7%) 10. Adam Schenk (T3, -11, 3.7%) Top Strokes-Gained Performers from Round 2: Putting: Brandon Hagy +4.3 Around the Green: Matthew NeSmith +2.5 Approach the Green: Greg Chalmers +3.6 Off-the-tee: Cameron Champ +2.8 Total: Luke List +6.0 NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the John Deere Classic, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.
Win probabilities: John Deere Classic
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2nd Round 3 Balls – R. Yin / M. Lee / C. Knight | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Ruoning Yin | +120 |
Minjee Lee | +160 |
Cheyenne Knight | +290 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – C. Boutier / H. Green / N. Hataoka | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Hannah Green | +165 |
Celine Boutier | +175 |
Nasa Hataoka | +185 |
ISPS Handa Championship | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Sebastian Soderberg | +350 |
Yannik Paul | +350 |
Sam Bairstow | +500 |
Taihei Sato | +900 |
Keita Nakajima | +1600 |
Tom McKibbin | +1600 |
Christiaan Bezuidenhout | +2500 |
Matthew Southgate | +2500 |
Casey Jarvis | +3500 |
Taiki Yoshida | +3500 |
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2nd Round Score – Abraham Ancer | |
Type: 2nd Round Score – Status: OPEN | |
Over 68.5 | +125 |
Under 68.5 | -165 |
2nd Round Score – Brooks Koepka | |
Type: 2nd Round Score – Status: OPEN | |
Over 67.5 | -115 |
Under 67.5 | -115 |
2nd Round Score – Bryson DeChambeau | |
Type: 2nd Round Score – Status: OPEN | |
Over 66.5 | -150 |
Under 66.5 | +115 |
2nd Round Score – Cameron Smith | |
Type: 2nd Round Score – Status: OPEN | |
Over 66.5 | -165 |
Under 66.5 | +125 |
2nd Round Score – Carlos Ortiz | |
Type: 2nd Round Score – Status: OPEN | |
Over 67.5 | +110 |
Under 67.5 | -145 |
2nd Round Score – Dean Burmester | |
Type: 2nd Round Score – Status: OPEN | |
Over 66.5 | -120 |
Under 66.5 | -110 |
2nd Round Score – Jinichiro Kozuma | |
Type: 2nd Round Score – Status: OPEN | |
Over 68.5 | -115 |
Under 68.5 | -115 |
2nd Round Score – Joaquin Niemann | |
Type: 2nd Round Score – Status: OPEN | |
Over 66.5 | -135 |
Under 66.5 | +105 |
2nd Round Score – Jon Rahm | |
Type: 2nd Round Score – Status: OPEN | |
Over 66.5 | +105 |
Under 66.5 | -135 |
2nd Round Score – Mito Pereira | |
Type: 2nd Round Score – Status: OPEN | |
Over 67.5 | -130 |
Under 67.5 | +100 |
2nd Round Score – Patrick Reed | |
Type: 2nd Round Score – Status: OPEN | |
Over 67.5 | +120 |
Under 67.5 | -155 |
2nd Round Score – Talor Gooch | |
Type: 2nd Round Score – Status: OPEN | |
Over 66.5 | -135 |
Under 66.5 | +105 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – B. DeChambeau / C. Tringale / T. Gooch | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Bryson DeChambeau | +130 |
Talor Gooch | +150 |
Cameron Tringale | +280 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – C. Ortiz / D. Lee / J. Kozuma | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Carlos Ortiz | -130 |
Danny Lee | +275 |
Jinichiro Kozuma | +275 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – M. Leishman / P. Reed / D. Burmester | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Dean Burmester | +150 |
Patrick Reed | +175 |
Marc Leishman | +200 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – J. Rahm / J. Niemann / P. Casey | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Jon Rahm | +140 |
Joaquin Niemann | +150 |
Paul Casey | +260 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – A. Ogletree / P. Uihlein / M. Pereira | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Peter Uihlein | +140 |
Mito Pereira | +160 |
Andy Ogletree | +240 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – B. Steele / M. Jones / A. Lahiri | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Anirban Lahiri | +145 |
Brendan Steele | +190 |
Matt Jones | +190 |
Scottie Scheffler Specials | |
Type: Scottie Scheffler Specials – Status: OPEN | |
Win Any Remaining Signature Event | -200 |
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & US Open (Top 10 Finish) | +115 |
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish) | +125 |
US Open (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish) | +135 |
All Remaining Signature Events – Top 10 Finish | +200 |
PGA Championship (Top 5 Finish) & The Open (Top 5 Finish) | +200 |
US Open (Top 5 Finish) & The Open (Top 5 Finish) | +210 |
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & US Open (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish) | +240 |
PGA Championship (Top 5 Finish) & US Open (Top 5 Finish) | +280 |
Win 2 Remaining Signature Events | +450 |
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PGA Championship 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +350 |
Jon Rahm | +1200 |
Rory McIlroy | +1200 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1600 |
Brooks Koepka | +2000 |
Xander Schauffele | +2000 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +2500 |
Collin Morikawa | +2500 |
Max Homa | +2500 |
Patrick Cantlay | +2500 |
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Requests | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
Miles Russell – Win a Major before 30th birthday | +10000 |
Scottie Scheffler & Nelly Korda – Win All Remaining 2024 Majors | +250000 |
US Open 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +350 |
Jon Rahm | +1200 |
Rory McIlroy | +1200 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1600 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Viktor Hovland | +2000 |
Brooks Koepka | +2500 |
Cameron Smith | +2500 |
Patrick Cantlay | +2500 |
Xander Schauffele | +2500 |
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The Open Championship 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +500 |
Jon Rahm | +1000 |
Rory McIlroy | +1000 |
Viktor Hovland | +1100 |
Brooks Koepka | +2000 |
Cameron Smith | +2000 |
Cameron Young | +2000 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Ludvig Aberg | +2000 |
Jordan Spieth | +2500 |
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Requests | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
The Open Championship – Alex Noren – Top 20 Finish | +200 |
Solheim Cup 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
USA | -140 |
Europe | +135 |
Tie | +1200 |
Ryder Cup 2025 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
USA | -135 |
Europe | +135 |
Tie | +1000 |