2021 The Honda Classic, Round 1 Scoring Conditions: Overall: +1.43 strokes per round Morning wave: +0.97 Afternoon wave: +1.9 Current cutline (top 65 and ties): 81 players at +1 or better (T63) Top 3 projected cutline probabilities: 1. 2 over par: 39.5% 2. 1 over par: 32.8% 3. 3 over par: 15.9% Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Matt Jones (1, -9, 25.4%) 2. Russell Henley (T2, -6, 11.9%) 3. Aaron Wise (T2, -6, 8.3%) 4. Cameron Davis (T4, -4, 6.0%) 5. Sungjae Im (T15, -2, 4.7%) 6. Cameron Tringale (T9, -3, 4.3%) 7. Steve Stricker (T4, -4, 2.6%) 8. Chris Kirk (T15, -2, 2.6%) 9. Joaquin Niemann (T27, -1, 2.6%) 10. Shane Lowry (T9, -3, 2.3%) NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of The Honda Classic or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.
Cut prediction: The Honda Classic
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3rd Round 2 Balls – K. Aphibarnrat v F. Schott | |
Type: 3rd Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Kiradech Aphibarnrat | -165 |
Freddy Schott | +125 |
3rd Round 2 Balls – N. Norgaard v M. Schwab | |
Type: 3rd Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Niklas Norgaard | -135 |
Matthias Schwab | +105 |
3rd Round 2 Balls – Z. Lombard v L. Jefferson Go | |
Type: 3rd Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Zander Lombard | -210 |
Lloyd Jefferson Go | +160 |
3rd Round 2 Balls – A. Otaegui v G. Brixi | |
Type: 3rd Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Adrian Otaegui | -340 |
Gordon Brixi | +240 |
3rd Round 2 Balls – G. Migliozzi v J. Girrbach | |
Type: 3rd Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Joel Girrbach | -120 |
Guido Migliozzi | -110 |
3rd Round 2 Balls – S. Soderberg v P. Waring | |
Type: 3rd Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Sebastian Soderberg | -165 |
Paul Waring | +125 |
Insperity Invitational | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Steven Alker | +450 |
Padraig Harrington | +600 |
Stephen Ames | +1200 |
Jerry Kelly | +1400 |
Miguel Angel Jimenez | +1400 |
David Toms | +1600 |
Ernie Els | +1600 |
Alex Cejka | +2000 |
Retief Goosen | +2000 |
KJ Choi | +2200 |
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1st Round 3-Balls – J. Leonard / S. Ames / P. Harrington | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Padraig Harrington | +105 |
Stephen Ames | +170 |
Justin Leonard | +330 |
1st Round 3-Balls – S. Alker / R. Goosen / E. Els | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Steven Alker | -105 |
Ernie Els | +230 |
Retief Goosen | +260 |
1st Round 3-Balls – M.A. Jimenez / J. Kelly / P. Broadhurst | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Jerry Kelly | +160 |
Miguel Angel Jimenez | +160 |
Paul Broadhurst | +220 |
1st Round 3-Balls – V. Singh / K.J. Choi / D. Toms | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
David Toms | +130 |
K.J. Choi | +170 |
Vijay Singh | +250 |
1st Round 3-Balls – C. Montgomerie / A. Cejka / D. Clarke | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Alex Cejka | +120 |
Darren Clarke | +170 |
Colin Montgomerie | +280 |
Scottie Scheffler Specials | |
Type: Scottie Scheffler Specials – Status: OPEN | |
Win Any Remaining Signature Event | -200 |
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & US Open (Top 10 Finish) | +115 |
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish) | +125 |
US Open (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish) | +135 |
All Remaining Signature Events – Top 10 Finish | +200 |
PGA Championship (Top 5 Finish) & The Open (Top 5 Finish) | +200 |
US Open (Top 5 Finish) & The Open (Top 5 Finish) | +210 |
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & US Open (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish) | +240 |
PGA Championship (Top 5 Finish) & US Open (Top 5 Finish) | +280 |
Win 2 Remaining Signature Events | +450 |
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PGA Championship 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +350 |
Jon Rahm | +1200 |
Rory McIlroy | +1200 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1600 |
Brooks Koepka | +2000 |
Xander Schauffele | +2000 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +2500 |
Collin Morikawa | +2500 |
Max Homa | +2500 |
Patrick Cantlay | +2500 |
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Requests | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy – RBC Canadian Open Winner | +1000 |
Miles Russell – Win a Major before 30th birthday | +1400 |
Scottie Scheffler & Nelly Korda – Win All Remaining 2024 Majors | +50000 |
US Open 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +350 |
Jon Rahm | +1200 |
Rory McIlroy | +1200 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1600 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Viktor Hovland | +2000 |
Brooks Koepka | +2500 |
Cameron Smith | +2500 |
Patrick Cantlay | +2500 |
Xander Schauffele | +2500 |
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The Open Championship 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +500 |
Jon Rahm | +1000 |
Rory McIlroy | +1000 |
Viktor Hovland | +1100 |
Brooks Koepka | +2000 |
Cameron Smith | +2000 |
Cameron Young | +2000 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Ludvig Aberg | +2000 |
Jordan Spieth | +2500 |
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Requests | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
The Open Championship – Alex Noren – Top 20 Finish | +200 |
Solheim Cup 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
USA | -140 |
Europe | +135 |
Tie | +1200 |
Ryder Cup 2025 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
USA | -135 |
Europe | +135 |
Tie | +1000 |