2021 The Genesis Invitational, Round 1 Scoring Conditions: Overall: +0.21 strokes per round Morning wave: 0.00 Afternoon wave: +0.42 Current cutline (top 65 and ties): 70 players at Even or better (T47) Top 3 projected cutline probabilities: 1. 1 over par: 39.2% 2. Even: 33.7% 3. 2 over par: 14.1% Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Dustin Johnson (T12, -3, 15.2%) 2. Patrick Cantlay (T4, -4, 11.9%) 3. Sam Burns (1, -7, 10.6%) 4. Scottie Scheffler (T4, -4, 6.0%) 5. Joaquin Niemann (T4, -4, 4.9%) 6. Jon Rahm (T34, -1, 4.1%) 7. Matthew Fitzpatrick (T2, -5, 4.0%) 8. Max Homa (T2, -5, 3.8%) 9. Jason Kokrak (T4, -4, 3.1%) 10. Brooks Koepka (T12, -3, 3.1%) NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of The Genesis Invitational, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.
Cut prediction: The Genesis Invitational
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Regions Tradition | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Steve Stricker | +350 |
Steven Alker | +750 |
Padraig Harrington | +900 |
Stewart Cink | +900 |
Miguel Angel Jimenez | +1600 |
Stephen Ames | +1600 |
Jerry Kelly | +1800 |
Ernie Els | +2000 |
David Toms | +2500 |
KJ Choi | +2800 |
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Cognizant Founders Cup | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Nelly Korda | +300 |
Atthaya Thitikul | +1600 |
Brooke Henderson | +1600 |
Hae Ran Ryu | +2000 |
Jin Young Ko | +2000 |
Nasa Hataoka | +2500 |
Lydia Ko | +3000 |
Sei Young Kim | +3000 |
Hannah Green | +3500 |
Hye Jin Choi | +3500 |
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Scottie Scheffler Specials | |
Type: Scottie Scheffler Specials – Status: OPEN | |
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & US Open (Top 10 Finish) | +115 |
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish) | +125 |
US Open (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish) | +135 |
PGA Championship (Top 5 Finish) & The Open (Top 5 Finish) | +200 |
US Open (Top 5 Finish) & The Open (Top 5 Finish) | +210 |
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & US Open (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish) | +240 |
PGA Championship (Top 5 Finish) & US Open (Top 5 Finish) | +280 |
PGA Championship (Top 5 Finish) & US Open (Top 5 Finish) & The Open (Top 5 Finish) | +750 |
Win PGA Championship & US Open | +1400 |
Win US Open & The Open | +1800 |
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Wells Fargo Championship | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy | +750 |
Xander Schauffele | +900 |
Wyndham Clark | +1200 |
Patrick Cantlay | +1600 |
Max Homa | +1800 |
Collin Morikawa | +2200 |
Cameron Young | +2500 |
Justin Thomas | +2500 |
Sahith Theegala | +2500 |
Tommy Fleetwood | +2500 |
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Myrtle Beach Classic | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Daniel Berger | +2000 |
Ben Griffin | +2500 |
Beau Hossler | +2800 |
Davis Thompson | +2800 |
Erik Van Rooyen | +2800 |
Matt Wallace | +2800 |
Alex Smalley | +3500 |
Andrew Novak | +3500 |
Greyson Sigg | +3500 |
Kevin Yu | +3500 |
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Tournament 3 Balls – T. Fleetwood / M. Fitzpatrick / V. Hovland | |
Type: Tournament 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Tommy Fleetwood | +165 |
Viktor Hovland | +175 |
Matt Fitzpatrick | +180 |
Tournament 3 Balls – W. Clark / M. Homa / P. Cantlay | |
Type: Tournament 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Wyndham Clark | +160 |
Max Homa | +180 |
Patrick Cantlay | +180 |
Tournament 3 Balls – S. Theegala / C. Morikawa / H. Matsuyama | |
Type: Tournament 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Collin Morikawa | +160 |
Sahith Theegala | +175 |
Hideki Matsuyama | +185 |
Tournament 3 Balls – B. Harman / A. Noren / R. Henley | |
Type: Tournament 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Alex Noren | +170 |
Brian Harman | +170 |
Russell Henley | +180 |
Tournament 3 Balls – C. Young / J. Thomas / S.W. Kim | |
Type: Tournament 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Cameron Young | +170 |
Justin Thomas | +170 |
Si Woo Kim | +180 |
Tournament Match-Up – A. Bhatia vs S. Lowry | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Akshay Bhatia | -145 |
Shane Lowry | +110 |
Tournament Match-Up – P. Cantlay vs C. Morikawa | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Patrick Cantlay | -130 |
Collin Morikawa | +100 |
Tournament Match-Up – C. Conners vs S. Jaeger | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Corey Conners | -115 |
Stephan Jaeger | -115 |
Tournament Match-Up – T. Finau vs J. Day | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Tony Finau | -130 |
Jason Day | +100 |
Tournament Match-Up – M. Fitzpatrick vs J. Thomas | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Justin Thomas | -135 |
Matt Fitzpatrick | +105 |
Tournament Match-Up – T. Fleetwood vs M. Homa | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Max Homa | -120 |
Tommy Fleetwood | -110 |
Tournament Match-Up – R. Henley vs B. Harman | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Russell Henley | -120 |
Brian Harman | -110 |
Tournament Match-Up – V. Hovland vs S. Theegala | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Sahith Theegala | -115 |
Viktor Hovland | -115 |
Tournament Match-Up – S. Im vs B. An | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Byeong Hun An | -135 |
Sungjae Im | +105 |
Tournament Match-Up – C. Kirk vs B. Horschel | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Chris Kirk | -120 |
Billy Horschel | -110 |
Tournament Match-Up – H. Matsuyama vs C. Young | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Cameron Young | -120 |
Hideki Matsuyama | -110 |
Tournament Match-Up – W. Clark vs R. McIlroy | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy | -165 |
Wyndham Clark | +125 |
Tournament Match-Up – A. Noren vs S. Burns | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Alex Noren | -120 |
Sam Burns | -110 |
Tournament Match-Up – A. Scott vs C. Bezuidenhout | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Adam Scott | -135 |
Christiaan Bezuidenhout | +105 |
Tournament Match-Up – J. Spieth vs S. Kim | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Si Woo Kim | -135 |
Jordan Spieth | +105 |
Tournament Match-Up – S. Straka vs T. Hoge | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Sepp Straka | -120 |
Tom Hoge | -110 |
Tournament Match-Up – K. Yu vs M. Wallace | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Kevin Yu | -115 |
Matt Wallace | -115 |
Tournament Match-Up – B. Griffin vs D. Thompson | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Ben Griffin | -120 |
Davis Thompson | -110 |
Tournament Match-Up – D. Berger vs C. Kim | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Daniel Berger | -130 |
Chan Kim | +100 |
Tournament Match-Up – J. Bridgeman vs S. Stevens | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Jacob Bridgeman | -115 |
Sam Stevens | -115 |
Tournament Match-Up – C. Gotterup vs V. Perez | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Chris Gotterup | -115 |
Victor Perez | -115 |
Tournament Match-Up – M. Greyserman vs G. Sigg | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Greyson Sigg | -130 |
Max Greyserman | +100 |
Tournament Match-Up – R. Histasune vs S. Kim | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Ryo Hisatsune | -130 |
S H Kim | +100 |
Tournament Match-Up – B. Hossler vs A. Novak | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Beau Hossler | -120 |
Andrew Novak | -110 |
Tournament Match-Up – K. Lee vs R. Fox | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
K H Lee | -115 |
Ryan Fox | -115 |
Tournament Match-Up – J. Lower vs T. Olesen | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Justin Lower | -120 |
Thorbjorn Olesen | -110 |
Tournament Match-Up – T. Semikawa vs M. Schmid | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Matti Schmid | -115 |
Taiga Semikawa | -115 |
PGA Championship 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +350 |
Jon Rahm | +1200 |
Rory McIlroy | +1200 |
Brooks Koepka | +1600 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1600 |
Xander Schauffele | +2000 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +2500 |
Collin Morikawa | +2500 |
Max Homa | +2500 |
Patrick Cantlay | +2500 |
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Requests | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy – RBC Canadian Open Winner | +1000 |
Miles Russell – Win a Major before 30th birthday | +1200 |
Scottie Scheffler & Nelly Korda – Win All Remaining 2024 Majors | +50000 |
US Open 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +350 |
Jon Rahm | +1200 |
Rory McIlroy | +1200 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1600 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Viktor Hovland | +2000 |
Brooks Koepka | +2500 |
Cameron Smith | +2500 |
Patrick Cantlay | +2500 |
Xander Schauffele | +2500 |
Click here for more… | |
The Open Championship 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +500 |
Jon Rahm | +1000 |
Rory McIlroy | +1000 |
Viktor Hovland | +1100 |
Brooks Koepka | +2000 |
Cameron Smith | +2000 |
Cameron Young | +2000 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Ludvig Aberg | +2000 |
Jordan Spieth | +2500 |
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Requests | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
The Open Championship – Alex Noren – Top 20 Finish | +200 |
Solheim Cup 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
USA | -140 |
Europe | +135 |
Tie | +1200 |
Ryder Cup 2025 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
USA | -135 |
Europe | +135 |
Tie | +1000 |