2021 3M Open, Round 1 Scoring Conditions: Overall: -0.6 strokes per round Morning wave: -1.16 Afternoon wave: -0.04 Current cutline (top 65 and ties): 82 players at -1 or better (T64) Top 3 projected cutline probabilities: 1. 2 under par: 37.6% 2. 3 under par: 36.6% 3. 1 under par: 12.2% Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Jhonattan Vegas (T1, -7, 10.4%) 2. Rickie Fowler (T1, -7, 8.3%) 3. Troy Merritt (T1, -7, 6.8%) 4. Louis Oosthuizen (T21, -3, 6.6%) 5. Chez Reavie (T7, -5, 4.8%) 6. Roger Sloan (T4, -6, 3.8%) 7. Cameron Tringale (T10, -4, 3.6%) 8. Scott Stallings (T4, -6, 3.6%) 9. Adam Schenk (T4, -6, 3.3%) 10. Keegan Bradley (T21, -3, 2.7%) NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the 3M Open, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.
Cut prediction: 3M Open
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Final Round Match-Up – C. Gotterup v A. Dumont de Chassart | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
Chris Gotterup | -120 |
Adrien Dumont de Chassart | +100 |
Final Round 3 Balls – D. Berger / A. Smalley / A. Schenk | |
Type: Final Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Adam Schenk | +130 |
Daniel Berger | +190 |
Alex Smalley | +220 |
Final Round 3 Balls – A. Dumont de Chassart / D. Riley / R. McCormick | |
Type: Final Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Davis Riley | +140 |
Adrien Dumont de Chassart | +185 |
Ryan McCormick | +200 |
Final Round Match-Up – A. Smalley vs C. Gotterup | |
Type: Final Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Alex Smalley | -110 |
Chris Gotterup | -110 |
Final Round Match-Up – H. Norlander vs A. Dumont de Chassart | |
Type: Final Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Henrik Norlander | -120 |
Adrien Dumont de Chassart | +100 |
Final Round Match-Up – A. Schenk vs A. Rai | |
Type: Final Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Adam Schenk | -120 |
Aaron Rai | +100 |
Final Round 3 Balls – P. Kizzire / J. Lower / A. Novak | |
Type: Final Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Justin Lower | +150 |
Andrew Novak | +160 |
Patton Kizzire | +225 |
Final Round 3 Balls – H. Norlander / C. Young / T. Hoge | |
Type: Final Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Tom Hoge | +110 |
Carson Young | +220 |
Henrik Norlander | +225 |
Final Round Match-Up – J. Lower vs A. Novak | |
Type: Final Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Justin Lower | -115 |
Andrew Novak | -105 |
Final Round 3 Balls – S.H. Kim / K. Mitchell / C. Gotterup | |
Type: Final Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Keith Mitchell | +135 |
S H Kim | +180 |
Chris Gotterup | +220 |
Final Round 3 Balls – D. Skinns / A. Cook / M. McGreevy | |
Type: Final Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
David Skinns | +140 |
Max McGreevy | +170 |
Austin Cook | +225 |
Final Round Match-Up – M.W. Lee vs K. Mitchell | |
Type: Final Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Min Woo Lee | -125 |
Keith Mitchell | +105 |
Final Round 3 Balls – Z. Johnson / N. Dunlap / A. Rai | |
Type: Final Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Aaron Rai | +125 |
Nick Dunlap | +190 |
Zach Johnson | +225 |
Final Round 3 Balls – H. Endycott / K.H. Lee / T. Kim | |
Type: Final Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Tom Kim | +120 |
K H Lee | +170 |
Harrison Endycott | +275 |
Final Round Match-Up – S. Jaeger v H. Buckley | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
Stephan Jaeger | -200 |
Hayden Buckley | +165 |
Final Round Match-Up – S. Jaeger v B. Snedeker | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
Stephan Jaeger | -275 |
Brandt Snedeker | +225 |
Final Round Match-Up – S. Jaeger v B. Hossler | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
Stephan Jaeger | -140 |
Beau Hossler | +115 |
Final Round 3 Balls – S. Jaeger / B. Griffin / S.W. Kim | |
Type: Final Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Si Woo Kim | +140 |
Stephan Jaeger | +170 |
Ben Griffin | +225 |
Final Round Match-Up – B.H. An vs S. Jaeger | |
Type: Final Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Byeong Hun An | -115 |
Stephan Jaeger | -105 |
Final Round Match-Up – S.W. Kim vs A. Noren | |
Type: Final Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Si Woo Kim | -120 |
Alex Noren | +100 |
Final Round 3-Balls – K.J. Choi / D. Waldorf / W. Austin | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
K.J. Choi | -125 |
Woody Austin | +210 |
Duffy Waldorf | +350 |
Final Round Match-Up – M.W. Lee v T. Whitney | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
Min Woo Lee | -275 |
Tom Whitney | +225 |
Final Round 3-Balls – P. Broadhurst / R. Pampling / S. Bertsch | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Paul Broadhurst | +110 |
Rod Pampling | +200 |
Shane Bertsch | +250 |
Final Round 3 Balls – T. Merritt / S. Kang / M.W. Lee | |
Type: Final Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Min Woo Lee | -125 |
Troy Merritt | +260 |
Sung Kang | +280 |
Final Round 3 Balls – S. Stevens / J. Dahmen / S. Piercy | |
Type: Final Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Sam Stevens | +140 |
Scott Piercy | +175 |
Joel Dahmen | +220 |
Final Round 3-Balls – S. Ames / Y.E. Yang / C. Wi | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Stephen Ames | +130 |
Y.E. Yang | +175 |
Charlie Wi | +230 |
Final Round Match-Up – M. Wallace v V. Whaley | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
Matt Wallace | -150 |
Vince Whaley | +125 |
Final Round 3 Balls – K. Tway / V. Whaley / B.H. An | |
Type: Final Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Byeong Hun An | -105 |
Vince Whaley | +240 |
Kevin Tway | +250 |
Final Round 3 Balls – B. Martin / J. Day / M. Hughes | |
Type: Final Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Jason Day | +125 |
Mackenzie Hughes | +170 |
Ben Martin | +260 |
Final Round Match-Up – K. Tway vs K. Kraft | |
Type: Final Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Kevin Tway | -140 |
Kelly Kraft | +115 |
Final Round 3-Balls – D. Clarke / D. Pride / J. Parnevik | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Darren Clarke | -105 |
Dicky Pride | +210 |
Jesper Parnevik | +300 |
Final Round 3 Balls – M. Wallace / A. Noren / K. Kraft | |
Type: Final Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Alex Noren | -105 |
Matt Wallace | +210 |
Kelly Kraft | +280 |
Final Round 3 Balls – K. Chappell / H. Buckley / S.Y. Noh | |
Type: Final Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
S.Y. Noh | +140 |
Hayden Buckley | +190 |
Kevin Chappell | +200 |
Final Round Match-Up – M. Wallace vs B. Kohles | |
Type: Final Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Matt Wallace | -130 |
Ben Kohles | +110 |
Final Round 3-Balls – S. Alker / T. Jaidee / M. Weir | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Steven Alker | -135 |
Thongchai Jaidee | +240 |
Mike Weir | +330 |
Final Round 3 Balls – T. Pendrith / J. Knapp / B. Kohles | |
Type: Final Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Jake Knapp | +140 |
Taylor Pendrith | +165 |
Ben Kohles | +230 |
Final Round 3 Balls – B. Snedeker / B. Hossler / T. Whitney | |
Type: Final Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Beau Hossler | +100 |
Tom Whitney | +220 |
Brandt Snedeker | +260 |
Final Round Match-Up – T. Pendrith vs J. Knapp | |
Type: Final Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Jake Knapp | -115 |
Taylor Pendrith | -105 |
Final Round 3-Balls – S. Dunlap / J. Durant / S. Appleby | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Joe Durant | +125 |
Scott Dunlap | +210 |
Stuart Appleby | +210 |
Scottie Scheffler Specials | |
Type: Scottie Scheffler Specials – Status: OPEN | |
Win Any Remaining Signature Event | -200 |
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & US Open (Top 10 Finish) | +115 |
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish) | +125 |
US Open (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish) | +135 |
All Remaining Signature Events – Top 10 Finish | +200 |
PGA Championship (Top 5 Finish) & The Open (Top 5 Finish) | +200 |
US Open (Top 5 Finish) & The Open (Top 5 Finish) | +210 |
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & US Open (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish) | +240 |
PGA Championship (Top 5 Finish) & US Open (Top 5 Finish) | +280 |
Win 2 Remaining Signature Events | +450 |
Click here for more… | |
PGA Championship 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +350 |
Jon Rahm | +1200 |
Rory McIlroy | +1200 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1600 |
Brooks Koepka | +1800 |
Xander Schauffele | +2000 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +2500 |
Collin Morikawa | +2500 |
Max Homa | +2500 |
Patrick Cantlay | +2500 |
Click here for more… | |
Requests | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy – RBC Canadian Open Winner | +1000 |
Miles Russell – Win a Major before 30th birthday | +1400 |
Scottie Scheffler & Nelly Korda – Win All Remaining 2024 Majors | +50000 |
US Open 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +350 |
Jon Rahm | +1200 |
Rory McIlroy | +1200 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1600 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Viktor Hovland | +2000 |
Brooks Koepka | +2500 |
Cameron Smith | +2500 |
Patrick Cantlay | +2500 |
Xander Schauffele | +2500 |
Click here for more… | |
The Open Championship 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +500 |
Jon Rahm | +1000 |
Rory McIlroy | +1000 |
Viktor Hovland | +1100 |
Brooks Koepka | +2000 |
Cameron Smith | +2000 |
Cameron Young | +2000 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Ludvig Aberg | +2000 |
Jordan Spieth | +2500 |
Click here for more… | |
Requests | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
The Open Championship – Alex Noren – Top 20 Finish | +200 |
Solheim Cup 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
USA | -140 |
Europe | +135 |
Tie | +1200 |
Ryder Cup 2025 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
USA | -135 |
Europe | +135 |
Tie | +1000 |