Win probabilities: The RSM Classic

2022 The RSM Classic, Round 2 Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Talor Gooch (1, -13, 23.7%) 2. Sebastian Munoz (T2, -12, 11.0%) 3. John Huh (T2, -12, 10.8%) 4. Taylor Moore (T4, -11, 9.3%) 5. Mackenzie Hughes (T4, -11, 8.6%) 6. Corey Conners (T9, -9, 6.3%) 7. Seamus Power (T6, -10, 5.6%) 8. Zach Johnson (T6, -10, 2.8%) 9. Russell Henley (T12, -8, 2.5%) 10. Scott Stallings (T6, -10, 2.4%) Top Strokes-Gained Performers from Round 2 (Seaside Course only): Putting: Kevin Tway +3.0 Around the Green: Richy Werenski +2.1 Approach the Green: Hudson Swafford +3.7 Off-the-tee: Luke List +2.2 Total: Talor Gooch +6.0 NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of The RSM Classic, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.

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Scottie Scheffler Specials
Type: Scottie Scheffler Specials – Status: OPEN
Win Any Remaining Signature Event-200
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & US Open (Top 10 Finish)+115
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish)+125
US Open (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish)+135
All Remaining Signature Events – Top 10 Finish+200
PGA Championship (Top 5 Finish) & The Open (Top 5 Finish)+200
US Open (Top 5 Finish) & The Open (Top 5 Finish)+210
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & US Open (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish)+240
PGA Championship (Top 5 Finish) & US Open (Top 5 Finish)+280
Win 2 Remaining Signature Events+450
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PGA Championship 2024
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+350
Jon Rahm+1200
Rory McIlroy+1200
Ludvig Aberg+1600
Brooks Koepka+1800
Xander Schauffele+2000
Bryson DeChambeau+2500
Collin Morikawa+2500
Max Homa+2500
Patrick Cantlay+2500
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Requests
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN
Rory McIlroy – RBC Canadian Open Winner+1000
Miles Russell – Win a Major before 30th birthday+1400
Scottie Scheffler & Nelly Korda – Win All Remaining 2024 Majors+50000
US Open 2024
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+350
Jon Rahm+1200
Rory McIlroy+1200
Ludvig Aberg+1600
Collin Morikawa+2000
Viktor Hovland+2000
Brooks Koepka+2500
Cameron Smith+2500
Patrick Cantlay+2500
Xander Schauffele+2500
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The Open Championship 2024
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+500
Jon Rahm+1000
Rory McIlroy+1000
Viktor Hovland+1100
Brooks Koepka+2000
Cameron Smith+2000
Cameron Young+2000
Collin Morikawa+2000
Ludvig Aberg+2000
Jordan Spieth+2500
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Requests
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN
The Open Championship – Alex Noren – Top 20 Finish+200
Solheim Cup 2024
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN
USA-140
Europe+135
Tie+1200
Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN
USA-135
Europe+135
Tie+1000