NOTE: For the three events determining who advances in the FedExCup Playoffs, Rob is focusing only on golfers outside the latest bubble. In this second edition, all five below enter THE NORTHERN TRUST outside the top 70 in points. Ian Poulter (+500 for a Top 10) … On the cusp to qualify for the European Ryder Cup team for the seventh time, the 45-year-old from England opens his 14th Playoffs (he missed only the 2016 edition) slotted 79th in FedExCup points. He’s recorded a pair of top 10s at Liberty National, the more recent just two years ago (T10). In his most recent start, he posted a T10 at TPC Southwind where he had hung up top 10s on two prior occasions. His 2021 also includes a T3 at Colonial at the end of May and a T4 at the Scottish Open in July. Sits a distant 198th on the PGA TOUR in greens hit, but he’s more than covered by ranking fourth in Strokes Gained: Putting, ninth in scrambling and 31st in adjusted scoring. But most of all, it’s that dangling Ryder Cup spot that warrants an elevated expectation at THE NORTHERN TRUST. Matt Wallace (+1200 for a Top 10) … No matter the fact that FedExCup points were quadrupled in 2019 and tripled last year, exactly one guy rose from outside the top 100 upon entry to inside the top 70 to advance to the BMW Championship. Seeded 102nd, Harold Varner III turned the trick with a T3 at Liberty National in 2019, and Russell Henley (101st) replicated with a T8 at TPC Boston in 2020. Wallace currently is 107th and the only Sleeper featured here outside the top 90. The 31-year-old Englishman also is making his Playoffs debut. He’s a long shot to qualify for the European Ryder Cup team, but a strong performance at THE NORTHERN TRUST is all but necessary to force the hand of captain Padraig Harrington. Wallace is rested since a T8 on his home circuit three weeks ago. He’s 21st on the PGA TOUR in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and 44th in adjusted scoring. Seamus Power (+1100 for a Top 20) … With six consecutive top 20s punctuated by his breakthrough victory at the Barbasol Championship a month ago, the Irishman is recently familiar with crashing leaderboards. He’s among a seriously quiet smattering of rank-and-filers responsible for gaudy analytics this season. Before you look up the backs of the trading cards of guys like Hank Lebioda and Brice Garnett, Power will match across the board. He’s 28th in greens hit, 24th in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green, fifth in scrambling and T1 in par-4 scoring. He’s just 73rd in the FedExCup in part because he has been limited to 16 starts due to conditional status pre-victory. Harold Varner III (+900 for a Top 20) … He’s 72nd in the FedExCup, so he might as well just leverage that position into one more start. In fact, as noted in Matt Wallace’s capsule above, HV3 was a force at Liberty National two years ago, finishing T3 to advance from the 102-hole. Strongest tee to green, but that’s not a backhanded way of saying that he loses strokes with his putter. He doesn’t. Top 15s in two of his last four starts this summer. Henrik Norlander (+2000 for a Top 20) … The 34-year-old Swede has rested a sore back for a couple of weeks but it’s fair to respect his personal time to enjoy the afterglow of competing in his first Olympics. Two weeks before that, he placed T5 at the Barbasol Championship with an uncharacteristically strong game on the greens. Typically, he’d need to contend to lead a field in scoring opportunities so as to see how much sticks, er, drops. At 87th in the FedExCup, he’ll need another good week with the putter to compliment his ball-striking that ranks 15th on TOUR. Liberty National is the kind of stage that rewards it more often than others. Odds were sourced on Tuesday, Aug. 17. For live odds, visit betmgm.
Sleeper Picks: THE NORTHERN TRUST
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Final Round 2 Balls – Ghim / Kim v Reavie / Snedeker | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Doug Ghim / Chan Kim | -200 |
Chez Reavie / Brandt Snedeker | +165 |
Final Round 2 Balls – Stevens / Barjon v Wu / Nicholas | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Sam Stevens / Paul Barjon | -125 |
Brandon Wu / James Nicholas | +105 |
Final Round 2 Balls – Norrman / Campillo v Lashley / Campos | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Nate Lashley / Rafael Campos | -110 |
Vincent Norrman / Jorge Campillo | -110 |
Mitsubishi Electric Classic | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Paul Broadhurst | +250 |
Steven Alker | +350 |
Stephen Ames | +400 |
K J Choi | +1000 |
John Senden | +1600 |
Doug Barron | +1800 |
Shane Bertsch | +1800 |
Kevin Sutherland | +2000 |
Lee Janzen | +2000 |
Y E Yang | +2200 |
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Final Round Six Shooter – Cantlay-Schauffele / McIlroy-Lowry / Morikawa-Kitayama / Taylor-Hadwin / Conners-Pendrith / Fitzpatrick/Fitzpatrick | |
Type: Final Round Six Shooter – Status: OPEN | |
Patrick Cantlay / Xander Schauffele | +250 |
Rory McIlroy / Shane Lowry | +325 |
Collin Morikawa / Kurt Kitayama | +425 |
Nick Taylor / Adam Hadwin | +550 |
Corey Conners / Taylor Pendrith | +600 |
Matt Fitzpatrick / Alex Fitzpatrick | +600 |
Final Round Match-Up – Cantlay / Schauffele v McIlroy / Lowry | |
Type: Final Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Patrick Cantlay / Xander Schauffele | -130 |
Rory McIlroy / Shane Lowry | +110 |
Final Round 2 Balls – Cantlay / Schauffele v Hardy / Riley | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Patrick Cantlay / Xander Schauffele | -260 |
Nick Hardy / Davis Riley | +210 |
Final Round 2 Balls – Higgo / Fox v Sigg / Hadley | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Garrick Higgo / Ryan Fox | -120 |
Greyson Sigg / Chesson Hadley | +100 |
Final Round Match-Up – McIlroy / Lowry v Garnett / Straka | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy / Shane Lowry | -210 |
Brice Garnett / Sepp Straka | +175 |
Final Round Match-Up – Garnett / Straka v Thompson / Novak | |
Type: Final Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Brice Garnett / Sepp Straka | -120 |
Davis Thompson / Andrew Novak | +100 |
Final Round Match-Up – Ramey / Trainer v Kraft / Tway | |
Type: Final Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Chad Ramey / Martin Trainer | -115 |
Kelly Kraft / Kevin Tway | -105 |
Final Round 2 Balls – Garnett / Straka v Ramey / Trainer | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Brice Garnett / Sepp Straka | -175 |
Chad Ramey / Martin Trainer | +145 |
Final Round Match-Up – Morikawa / Kitayama v Conners / Pendrith | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
Collin Morikawa / Kurt Kitayama | -140 |
Corey Conners / Taylor Pendrith | +115 |
Final Round Match-Up – Morikawa / Kitayama v Fitzpatrick / Fitzpatrick | |
Type: Final Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Collin Morikawa / Kurt Kitayama | -150 |
Matt Fitzpatrick / Alex Fitzpatrick | +125 |
Final Round 2 Balls – Morikawa / Kitayama v Kraft / Tway | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Collin Morikawa / Kurt Kitayama | -250 |
Kelly Kraft / Kevin Tway | +200 |
Final Round Six Shooter – Mitchell-Dahmen / Detry-MacIntyre / Lee-Kim / Yu-Pan / Rai-Lipsky / List-Norlander | |
Type: Final Round Six Shooter – Status: OPEN | |
Keith Mitchell / Joel Dahmen | +375 |
K.H. Lee / Michael Kim | +400 |
Thomas Detry / Robert MacIntyre | +400 |
Aaron Rai / David Lipsky | +450 |
Kevin Yu / C.T. Pan | +450 |
Luke List / Henrik Norlander | +475 |
Final Round Match-Up – Phillips / Bridgeman v Rai / Lipsky | |
Type: Final Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Chandler Phillips / Jacob Bridgeman | -120 |
Aaron Rai / David Lipsky | +100 |
Final Round 2 Balls – Thompson / Novak v Rai / Lipsky | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Davis Thompson / Andrew Novak | -120 |
Aaron Rai / David Lipsky | +100 |
Final Round Match-Up – Kohles / Kizzire v Taylor / O’Hair | |
Type: Final Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Ben Kohles / Patton Kizzire | -125 |
Ben Taylor / Sean O’Hair | +105 |
Final Round 2 Balls – Fitzpatrick / Fitzpatrick v Taylor / O’Hair | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Matt Fitzpatrick / Alex Fitzpatrick | -230 |
Ben Taylor / Sean O’Hair | +190 |
Final Round 3-Balls – M. Tiziani / T. Bjorn / R. Goosen | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Thomas Bjorn | +130 |
Retief Goosen | +135 |
Mario Tiziani | +320 |
Final Round Match-Up – Eckroat / Gotterup v Wallace / Olesen | |
Type: Final Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Austin Eckroat / Chris Gotterup | -130 |
Matt Wallace / Thorbjorn Olesen | +110 |
Final Round 2 Balls – Wallace / Olesen v Wu / Lower | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Dylan Wu / Justin Lower | -110 |
Matt Wallace / Thorbjorn Olesen | -110 |
Final Round 3-Balls – G. Sauers / D. Toms / R. Green | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
David Toms | -120 |
Richard Green | +175 |
Gene Sauers | +425 |
Final Round 2 Balls – Eckroat / Gotterup v Phillips / Bridgeman | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Austin Eckroat / Chris Gotterup | -125 |
Chandler Phillips / Jacob Bridgeman | +105 |
Final Round 3-Balls – S. Allan / K. Sutherland / M.A. Jimenez | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Miguel Angel Jimenez | +110 |
Kevin Sutherland | +190 |
Steve Allan | +260 |
Final Round Match-Up – Conners / Pendrith v Blair / Fishburn | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
Corey Conners / Taylor Pendrith | -185 |
Zac Blair / Patrick Fishburn | +150 |
Final Round Match-Up – Mitchell / Dahmen v Detry / MacIntyre | |
Type: Final Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Keith Mitchell / Joel Dahmen | -110 |
Thomas Detry / Robert MacIntyre | -110 |
Final Round Match-Up – Conners / Pendrith v Taylor / Hadwin | |
Type: Final Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Corey Conners / Taylor Pendrith | -110 |
Nick Taylor / Adam Hadwin | -110 |
Final Round 2 Balls – Conners / Pendrith v Mitchell / Dahmen | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Corey Conners / Taylor Pendrith | -125 |
Keith Mitchell / Joel Dahmen | +105 |
Final Round 3-Balls – D. Barron / S. Bertsch / Y.E. Yang | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Ye Yang | +100 |
Doug Barron | +175 |
Shane Bertsch | +330 |
Final Round Match-Up – Meissner / Smotherman v Hall / Piercy | |
Type: Final Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Mac Meissner / Austin Smotherman | -140 |
Harry Hall / Scott Piercy | +115 |
Final Round 2 Balls – Kohles / Kizzire v Hall / Piercy | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Ben Kohles / Patton Kizzire | -125 |
Harry Hall / Scott Piercy | +105 |
Final Round 3-Balls – K.J. Choi / L. Janzen / J. Senden | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
K.J. Choi | -140 |
Lee Janzen | +210 |
John Senden | +425 |
Final Round 2 Balls – Meissner / Smotherman v Hoffman / Watney | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Mac Meissner / Austin Smotherman | -145 |
Charley Hoffman / Nick Watney | +120 |
Final Round 3-Balls – P. Broadhurst / S. Ames / S. Alker | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Steven Alker | +105 |
Stephen Ames | +180 |
Paul Broadhurst | +300 |
Final Round Match-Up – Tarren / Skinns v Malnati / Knox | |
Type: Final Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Callum Tarren / David Skinns | -120 |
Peter Malnati / Russell Knox | +100 |
Final Round 2 Balls – Johnson / Palmer v Malnati / Knox | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Zach Johnson / Ryan Palmer | -120 |
Peter Malnati / Russell Knox | +100 |
Final Round 2 Balls – Detry / MacIntyre v Tarren / Skinns | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Thomas Detry / Robert MacIntyre | -145 |
Callum Tarren / David Skinns | +120 |
Final Round Match-Up – Yu / Pan v Echavarria / Greyserman | |
Type: Final Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Kevin Yu / C.T. Pan | -120 |
Nico Echavarria / Max Greyserman | +100 |
Final Round 2 Balls – Taylor / Hadwin v Echavarria / Greyserman | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Nick Taylor / Adam Hadwin | -165 |
Nico Echavarria / Max Greyserman | +135 |
Final Round Match-Up – Lee / Kim v List / Norlander | |
Type: Final Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
K.H. Lee / Michael Kim | -120 |
Luke List / Henrik Norlander | +100 |
Final Round 2 Balls – Lee / Kim v Yu / Pan | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
K.H. Lee / Michael Kim | -120 |
Kevin Yu / C.T. Pan | +100 |
Final Round Match-Up – Brehm / Hubbard v Blair / Fishburn | |
Type: Final Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Ryan Brehm / Mark Hubbard | -140 |
Zac Blair / Patrick Fishburn | +115 |
Final Round 2 Balls – McIlroy / Lowry v Brehm / Hubbard | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy / Shane Lowry | -270 |
Ryan Brehm / Mark Hubbard | +220 |
Final Round 2 Balls – List / Norlander v Blair / Fishburn | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Luke List / Henrik Norlander | -150 |
Zac Blair / Patrick Fishburn | +125 |
JM Eagle LA Championship | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Hannah Green | +275 |
Grace Kim | +550 |
Maja Stark | +550 |
Jin Hee Im | +700 |
Nasa Hataoka | +700 |
Esther Henseleit | +750 |
Haeran Ryu | +1600 |
Jennifer Kupcho | +2500 |
Ayaka Furue | +3500 |
Ally Ewing | +5000 |
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Final Round 2 Balls – E. Pedersen v N. Guseva | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Emily Pedersen | -140 |
Nataliya Guseva | +155 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2 Balls – A. Ewing v K. Davidson | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Ally Ewing | -150 |
Karis Davidson | +165 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2 Balls – A. Furue v H. Ryu | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Ayaka Furue | -125 |
Haeran Ryu | +135 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2 Balls – J. Kupcho v W.L Hsu | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Jennifer Kupcho | +105 |
Wei Ling Hsu | +105 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2 Balls – N. Hataoka v M. Stark | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Nasa Hataoka | -125 |
Maja Stark | +135 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2 Balls – J. Im v E. Henseleit | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Jin Hee Im | -105 |
Esther Henseleit | +115 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round 2 Balls – H. Green v G. Kim | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Hannah Green | -135 |
Grace Kim | +150 |
Tie | +750 |
Scottie Scheffler Specials | |
Type: Scottie Scheffler Specials – Status: OPEN | |
Win Any Remaining Signature Event | -200 |
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & US Open (Top 10 Finish) | +115 |
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish) | +125 |
US Open (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish) | +135 |
All Remaining Signature Events – Top 10 Finish | +200 |
PGA Championship (Top 5 Finish) & The Open (Top 5 Finish) | +200 |
US Open (Top 5 Finish) & The Open (Top 5 Finish) | +210 |
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & US Open (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish) | +240 |
PGA Championship (Top 5 Finish) & US Open (Top 5 Finish) | +280 |
Win 2 Remaining Signature Events | +450 |
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PGA Championship 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +350 |
Jon Rahm | +1200 |
Rory McIlroy | +1200 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1600 |
Brooks Koepka | +2000 |
Xander Schauffele | +2000 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +2500 |
Collin Morikawa | +2500 |
Max Homa | +2500 |
Patrick Cantlay | +2500 |
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Requests | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
Miles Russell – Win a Major before 30th birthday | +10000 |
Scottie Scheffler & Nelly Korda – Win All Remaining 2024 Majors | +250000 |
US Open 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +350 |
Jon Rahm | +1200 |
Rory McIlroy | +1200 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1600 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Viktor Hovland | +2000 |
Brooks Koepka | +2500 |
Cameron Smith | +2500 |
Patrick Cantlay | +2500 |
Xander Schauffele | +2500 |
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The Open Championship 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +500 |
Jon Rahm | +1000 |
Rory McIlroy | +1000 |
Viktor Hovland | +1100 |
Brooks Koepka | +2000 |
Cameron Smith | +2000 |
Cameron Young | +2000 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Ludvig Aberg | +2000 |
Jordan Spieth | +2500 |
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Requests | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
The Open Championship – Alex Noren – Top 20 Finish | +200 |
Solheim Cup 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
USA | -140 |
Europe | +135 |
Tie | +1200 |
Ryder Cup 2025 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
USA | -135 |
Europe | +135 |
Tie | +1000 |