2021 The Genesis Invitational, Round 2 Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Sam Burns (1, -12, 37.5%) 2. Dustin Johnson (T2, -7, 20.6%) 3. Joaquin Niemann (T2, -7, 7.4%) 4. Patrick Cantlay (T9, -5, 4.9%) 5. Jason Kokrak (T2, -7, 4.4%) 6. Jordan Spieth (T6, -6, 3.5%) 7. Tony Finau (T14, -4, 2.7%) 8. Jon Rahm (T19, -3, 2.5%) 9. Max Homa (T6, -6, 2.4%) 10. Wyndham Clark (T6, -6, 1.9%) Top Strokes-Gained Performers from Round 2: Putting: Jason Kokrak +3.0 Around the Green: Bryson DeChambeau +3.2 Approach the Green: Jordan Spieth +3.0 Off-the-tee: Carlos Ortiz +1.9 Total: Sam Burns +4.9 NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of The Genesis Invitational, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.
Win probabilities: The Genesis Invitational
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Final Round 2 Balls – N. Korda / H. Green | |
Type: Final Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Nelly Korda | -160 |
Hannah Green | +180 |
Tie | +750 |
Final Round Match-Ups – S. Lowry vs K. Bradley | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Keegan Bradley | -115 |
Shane Lowry | -105 |
Final Round Match-Ups – R. MacIntyre vs T. Moore | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Taylor Moore | -135 |
Robert MacIntyre | +115 |
Final Round 2-Balls – K. Bradley / T. Moore | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Keegan Bradley | -115 |
Taylor Moore | -105 |
Final Round 2-Balls – T. Detry / L. Herbert | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Lucas Herbert | -110 |
Thomas Detry | -110 |
Final Round Six Shooter – D. Burmester / H. English / J. Rose / L. Herbert / R. MacIntyre / S. Lowry | |
Type: Final Round Six Shooter – Status: OPEN | |
Dean Burmester | +350 |
Shane Lowry | +350 |
Harris English | +400 |
Justin Rose | +475 |
Lucas Herbert | +475 |
Robert MacIntyre | +500 |
Final Round Match-Ups – D. Burmester vs H. English | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Dean Burmester | -115 |
Harris English | -105 |
Final Round Match-Ups – A. Eckroat vs J. Rose | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Austin Eckroat | -115 |
Justin Rose | -105 |
Final Round 2-Balls – H. English / A. Eckroat | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Harris English | -125 |
Austin Eckroat | +105 |
Final Round Match-Ups – T. Finau vs S. Theegala | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Sahith Theegala | -120 |
Tony Finau | +100 |
Final Round Match-Ups – V. Hovland vs J. Thomas | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Justin Thomas | -115 |
Viktor Hovland | -105 |
Final Round 2-Balls – J. Thomas / T. Finau | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Justin Thomas | -130 |
Tony Finau | +110 |
Tie | |
Final Round Six Shooter – B. DeChambeau / C. Morikawa / J. Thomas / S. Theegala / V. Hovland / X. Schauffele | |
Type: Final Round Six Shooter – Status: OPEN | |
Xander Schauffele | +320 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +375 |
Collin Morikawa | +425 |
Viktor Hovland | +475 |
Justin Thomas | +500 |
Sahith Theegala | +500 |
Final Round 2-Balls – D. Burmester / L. Hodges | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Dean Burmester | -155 |
Lee Hodges | +130 |
Final Round 2-Balls – J. Rose / R. MacIntyre | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Justin Rose | -115 |
Robert MacIntyre | -105 |
Tie | |
Final Round Match-Ups – C. Morikawa vs B. DeChambeau | |
Type: Final Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Bryson DeChambeau | -115 |
Collin Morikawa | -105 |
Final Round 2-Balls – B. DeChambeau / V. Hovland | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Bryson DeChambeau | -115 |
Viktor Hovland | -105 |
Final Round 2-Balls – S. Theegala / S. Lowry | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Sahith Theegala | -130 |
Shane Lowry | +110 |
Miscellaneous | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
Collin Morikawa – NOT Finish 2nd | -600 |
Final Round 2-Balls – X. Schauffele / C. Morikawa | |
Type: Final Round 2-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Xander Schauffele | -140 |
Collin Morikawa | +115 |
US Open 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +350 |
Rory McIlroy | +1100 |
Jon Rahm | +1200 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1600 |
Xander Schauffele | +1600 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Viktor Hovland | +2000 |
Brooks Koepka | +2500 |
Cameron Smith | +2500 |
Patrick Cantlay | +2500 |
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The Open Championship 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +500 |
Jon Rahm | +1000 |
Rory McIlroy | +1000 |
Viktor Hovland | +1100 |
Brooks Koepka | +2000 |
Cameron Smith | +2000 |
Cameron Young | +2000 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Ludvig Aberg | +2000 |
Jordan Spieth | +2500 |
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Requests | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
The Open Championship – Alex Noren – Top 20 Finish | +175 |
Solheim Cup 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
USA | -140 |
Europe | +135 |
Tie | +1200 |
Ryder Cup 2025 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
USA | -135 |
Europe | +135 |
Tie | +1000 |