2019 Open Championship, End of Round 1. Course scoring averages: Overall: +1.98 strokes per round Morning wave: +2.28 Afternoon wave: +1.68 Current cutline: 71 players at +1 or better (T54th position) Top 3 most likely projected cutlines: 3 over par: 27% 4 over par: 24.2% 2 over par: 18.7% Top 10 win probabilities: Jon Rahm (T3, -3, 9.8%) Webb Simpson (T3, -3, 7.2%) Brooks Koepka (T3, -3, 6.6%) Justin Rose (T16, -2, 5.5%) Patrick Cantlay (T20, -1, 5.2%) Shane Lowry (2, -4, 5%) Tommy Fleetwood (T3, -3, 5%) Sergio Garcia (T3, -3, 4.1%) Tony Finau (T3, -3, 4%) Tyrrell Hatton (T3, -3, 2.6%) NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut�, “Top 20�, “Top 5�, and “Win� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Open Championship, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.
Cut prediction: The Open Championship
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Final Round 3-Balls – J. Niemann / T. Hatton / K. Vincent | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Joaquin Niemann | -110 |
Tyrrell Hatton | +135 |
Kieran Vincent | +500 |
Final Round 3-Balls – A. Ancer / L. Herbert / M. Wolff | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Abraham Ancer | +125 |
Lucas Herbert | +185 |
Matthew Wolff | +210 |
Final Round 3-Balls – L. Oosthuizen / K. Na / E. L-Chacarra | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Louis Oosthuizen | -105 |
Kevin Na | +210 |
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra | +300 |
Final Round 3-Balls – C. Smith / S. Munoz / M. Kaymer | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Cameron Smith | -125 |
Sebastian Munoz | +250 |
Martin Kaymer | +275 |
Final Round 3-Balls – B. Koepka / A. Meronk / T. Pieters | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Brooks Koepka | +100 |
Adrian Meronk | +185 |
Thomas Pieters | +275 |
Final Round 3-Balls – T. Gooch / M. Leishman / C. Tringale | |
Type: Final Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Talor Gooch | +110 |
Marc Leishman | +200 |
Cameron Tringale | +250 |
Final Round 3 Ball – B. Stone / T. Vaillant / F. Celli | |
Type: Final Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Brandon Stone | +150 |
Tom Vaillant | +160 |
Filippo Celli | +230 |
Final Round 3 Ball – J. Smith / Y. Paul / J. Zihao | |
Type: Outright – Status: OPEN | |
Jordan Smith | +100 |
Yannik Paul | +120 |
Jin Zihao | +600 |
Final Round 3 Balls – A. Rozner / J. Guerrier / G. Wiebe | |
Type: Final Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Antoine Rozner | +100 |
Julien Guerrier | +145 |
Gunner Wiebe | +450 |
Final Round 3 Balls – J. Luiten / J. Svensson / F. Schott | |
Type: Final Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Jesper Svensson | +135 |
Joost Luiten | +150 |
Freddy Schott | +275 |
Volvo China Open | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Sebastian Soderberg | -250 |
Paul Waring | +500 |
Guido Migliozzi | +900 |
Adrian Otaegui | +1400 |
Joel Girrbach | +1800 |
Zander Lombard | +2500 |
Frederic Lacroix | +6000 |
Gordan Brixi | +6000 |
Lloyd Jefferson Go | +8000 |
Matthias Schwab | +9000 |
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Final Round 3 Balls – A. Del Rey / D. Hillier / J. Veerman | |
Type: Final Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Alejandro Del Rey | +160 |
Johannes Veerma | +180 |
Daniel Hillier | +190 |
Final Round 3 Balls – G. Migliozzi / P. Waring / S. Soderberg | |
Type: Final Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Sebastian Soderberg | +110 |
Guido Migliozzi | +225 |
Paul Waring | +225 |
Scottie Scheffler Specials | |
Type: Scottie Scheffler Specials – Status: OPEN | |
Win Any Remaining Signature Event | -200 |
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & US Open (Top 10 Finish) | +115 |
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish) | +125 |
US Open (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish) | +135 |
All Remaining Signature Events – Top 10 Finish | +200 |
PGA Championship (Top 5 Finish) & The Open (Top 5 Finish) | +200 |
US Open (Top 5 Finish) & The Open (Top 5 Finish) | +210 |
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & US Open (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish) | +240 |
PGA Championship (Top 5 Finish) & US Open (Top 5 Finish) | +280 |
Win 2 Remaining Signature Events | +450 |
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PGA Championship 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +350 |
Jon Rahm | +1200 |
Rory McIlroy | +1200 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1600 |
Brooks Koepka | +1800 |
Xander Schauffele | +2000 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +2500 |
Collin Morikawa | +2500 |
Max Homa | +2500 |
Patrick Cantlay | +2500 |
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Requests | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy – RBC Canadian Open Winner | +1000 |
Miles Russell – Win a Major before 30th birthday | +1400 |
Scottie Scheffler & Nelly Korda – Win All Remaining 2024 Majors | +50000 |
US Open 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +350 |
Jon Rahm | +1200 |
Rory McIlroy | +1200 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1600 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Viktor Hovland | +2000 |
Brooks Koepka | +2500 |
Cameron Smith | +2500 |
Patrick Cantlay | +2500 |
Xander Schauffele | +2500 |
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The Open Championship 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +500 |
Jon Rahm | +1000 |
Rory McIlroy | +1000 |
Viktor Hovland | +1100 |
Brooks Koepka | +2000 |
Cameron Smith | +2000 |
Cameron Young | +2000 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Ludvig Aberg | +2000 |
Jordan Spieth | +2500 |
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Requests | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
The Open Championship – Alex Noren – Top 20 Finish | +200 |
Solheim Cup 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
USA | -140 |
Europe | +135 |
Tie | +1200 |
Ryder Cup 2025 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
USA | -135 |
Europe | +135 |
Tie | +1000 |