References Basketball-Reference.com / Real Plus-Minus Elo ratings / Monte Carlo simulations / Box Plus/Minus / Simple Projection System The Details FiveThirtyEight’s NBA predictions have gone through quite an evolution over the years. Our first iteration simply relied on Elo ratings, the same old standby
How Our NBA Predictions Work
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| New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers | |
| Type: Moneyline – Status: OPEN | |
| New York Knicks | -260 |
| Indiana Pacers | +215 |
| New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers | |
| Type: Total – Status: OPEN | |
| Over – 1H | -110 |
| Under – 1H | -110 |
| Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves | |
| Type: Moneyline – Status: OPEN | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves – 1H | +165 |
| Denver Nuggets – 1H | -195 |
| Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves | |
| Type: Moneyline – Status: OPEN | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | -135 |
| Denver Nuggets | +115 |
| Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers | |
| Type: Moneyline – Status: OPEN | |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | +800 |
| Boston Celtics | -1600 |
| Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers | |
| Type: Moneyline – Status: OPEN | |
| Cleveland Cavaliers – 1H | +270 |
| Boston Celtics – 1H | -340 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks | |
| Type: Total – Status: OPEN | |
| Over – 1H | -115 |
| Under – 1H | -105 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks | |
| Type: Moneyline – Status: OPEN | |
| Dallas Mavericks | +110 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | -130 |