Thursday Night Stat Report It was a difficult day for scoring in the opening round at the Valero Texas Open, with only 4 holes playing under par on the day. Here is a graphic detailing hole-by-hole scoring from Thursday’s round: Currently, there are 86 players at 1 over par or better (T64th position). Our model is projecting Friday’s cutline as follows (as usual, assuming that the course plays to a scoring average similar to Thursday’s): 2 over par: 74.2 percent 3 over par: 24.8 percent 1 over par: 1.0 percent This week’s field at the Valero Texas Open is as big as they come on the PGA TOUR (156 players) and, due to a relative lack of starpower, one of the more evenly-matched fields as well. As a consequence, our model’s highest cut projection at the start of the tournament was just 74 percent, belonging to Matt Kuchar (in a typical week, the highest cut projection will usually be 80 to 90 percent). After shooting 1 under par today, Kuchar’s cut probability now sits at 91 percent. One of the biggest movers on the day was Grayson Murray, whose probability of making the cut rose from 54 percent at the start of Thursday to 99 percent, thanks to his 5 under par round of 67. This implies that the model is giving Murray about a 1 percent chance of shooting 7 over par or worse tomorrow, given how the cutline is being projected above (nobody tell Grayson!). Some other notable cut probabilities heading into Friday’s round are Kevin Chappell (Even par; 80 percent), Brendan Steele (2 under par; 95 percent), Adam Scott (3 over par; 43 percent), and Sergio Garcia (2 over par; 59 percent). NOTE: These reports are based off the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cutâ€�, “Top 20â€�, “Top 5â€�, and “Winâ€� probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 10K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the Valero Texas Open, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page. Â
Cut prediction: Valero Texas Open
Don’t like today’s odds? Why don’t you step away from sportsbetting for a while and join an exciting slot tournament? Check out this list of online slot tournaments that are currently running and join one! |
Volvo China Open | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Sebastian Soderberg | +350 |
Haotong Li | +550 |
Romain Langasque | +700 |
Guido Migliozzi | +1800 |
Zander Lombard | +1800 |
Julien Guerrier | +2000 |
Yannik Paul | +2500 |
Paul Waring | +3000 |
Joel Girrbach | +3500 |
Marcus Armitage | +3500 |
Click here for more… | |
Singapore | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Jon Rahm | +600 |
Joaquin Niemann | +800 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +1000 |
Cameron Smith | +1400 |
Tyrrell Hatton | +1400 |
Brooks Koepka | +1600 |
Talor Gooch | +1600 |
Louis Oosthuizen | +1800 |
Dean Burmester | +2000 |
Abraham Ancer | +2500 |
Click here for more… | |
Tournament Match-Up – S. Garcia vs L. Herbert | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Sergio Garcia | -135 |
Lucas Herbert | +105 |
Tournament Match-Up – T. Gooch vs A. Ancer | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Talor Gooch | -135 |
Abraham Ancer | +105 |
Tournament Match-Up – D. Johnson vs P. Reed | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Dustin Johnson | -115 |
Patrick Reed | -115 |
Tournament Match-Up – B. Koepka vs D. Burmester | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Dean Burmester | -130 |
Brooks Koepka | +100 |
Tournament Match-Up – M. Leishman vs P. Casey | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Marc Leishman | -115 |
Paul Casey | -115 |
Tournament Match-Up – L. Oosthuizen vs B. DeChambeau | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Bryson DeChambeau | -130 |
Louis Oosthuizen | +100 |
Tournament Match-Up – C. Ortiz vs C. Howell III | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Carlos Ortiz | -150 |
Charles Howell III | +115 |
Tournament Match-Up – M. Pereira vs R. Bland | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Mito Pereira | -135 |
Richard Bland | +105 |
Tournament Match-Up – J. Rahm vs J. Niemann | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Jon Rahm | -130 |
Joaquin Niemann | +100 |
Tournament Match-Up – C. Tringale vs J. Kokrak | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Cameron Tringale | -135 |
Jason Kokrak | +105 |
Tournament Match-Up – P. Uihlein vs B. Steele | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Peter Uihlein | -125 |
Brendan Steele | -105 |
Tournament Match-Up – C. Smith v T. Hatton | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Tyrrell Hatton | -125 |
Cameron Smith | -105 |
Tournament Match-Up – P. Perez v P. Mickelson | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Pat Perez | -135 |
Phil Mickelson | +105 |
Tournament Match-Up – J. Rahm v B. DeChambeau | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Jon Rahm | -150 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +115 |
Tournament Match-Up – C. Smith v B. Koepka | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Cameron Smith | -135 |
Brooks Koepka | +105 |
Tournament Match-Up – D. Johnson v S. Garcia | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Dustin Johnson | -115 |
Sergio Garcia | -115 |
Tournament Match-Up – T. Hatton v L. Oosthuizen | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Tyrrell Hatton | -130 |
Louis Oosthuizen | +100 |
1st Round Match-Ups – A. Ancer vs D. Burmester | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Dean Burmester | -120 |
Abraham Ancer | +100 |
1st Round Match-Ups – P. Casey vs C. Ortiz | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Paul Casey | -120 |
Carlos Ortiz | +100 |
1st Round Match-Ups – C. Howell vs B. Steele | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Charles Howell III | -115 |
Brendan Steele | -105 |
1st Round Match-Ups – D. Johnson vs S. Garcia | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Sergio Garcia | -115 |
Dustin Johnson | -105 |
1st Round Match-Ups – M. Jones vs R. Bland | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Richard Bland | -120 |
Matt Jones | +100 |
1st Round Match-Ups – B. Koepka vs T. Gooch | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Brooks Koepka | -110 |
Talor Gooch | -110 |
1st Round Match-Ups – M. Leishman vs M. Pereira | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Mito Pereira | -115 |
Marc Leishman | -105 |
1st Round Match-Ups – L. Oosthuizen vs T. Hatton | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Louis Oosthuizen | -110 |
Tyrrell Hatton | -110 |
1st Round Match-Ups – T. Pieters vs C. Surrat | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Caleb Surratt | -110 |
Thomas Pieters | -110 |
1st Round Match-Ups – D. Puig vs P. Uihlein | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
David Puig | -110 |
Peter Uihlein | -110 |
1st Round Match-Ups – J. Rahm vs J. Niemann | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Jon Rahm | -115 |
Joaquin Niemann | -105 |
1st Round Match-Ups – P. Reed vs L. Herbert | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Patrick Reed | -115 |
Lucas Herbert | -105 |
1st Round Match-Ups – C. Smith vs B. Dechambeau | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Bryson DeChambeau | -120 |
Cameron Smith | +100 |
1st Round Match-Ups – C. Tringale vs J. Kokrak | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Cameron Tringale | -110 |
Jason Kokrak | -110 |
1st Round Six-Shooter – Group A – J. Rahm / C. Smith / J. Niemann / L. Oosthuizen / B. DeChambeau / T. Hatton | |
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter – Status: OPEN | |
Jon Rahm | +320 |
Joaquin Niemann | +350 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +450 |
Cameron Smith | +500 |
Louis Oosthuizen | +500 |
Tyrrell Hatton | +500 |
1st Round Six-Shooter – Group B – B. Koepka / A. Ancer / T. Gooch / S. Garcia / D. Burmester / D. Johnson | |
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter – Status: OPEN | |
Brooks Koepka | +375 |
Talor Gooch | +375 |
Dean Burmester | +400 |
Abraham Ancer | +450 |
Sergio Garcia | +450 |
Dustin Johnson | +500 |
1st Round Six-Shooter – Group C – P. Reed / C. Ortiz / P. Casey / M. Pereira / L. Herbert / M. Leishman | |
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter – Status: OPEN | |
Carlos Ortiz | +400 |
Lucas Herbert | +400 |
Patrick Reed | +400 |
Paul Casey | +400 |
Mito Pereira | +425 |
Marc Leishman | +500 |
1st Round Six-Shooter – Group D – C. Howell / B. Steele / M. Wolff / P. Uihlein / D. Puig / J. Kokrak | |
Type: 1st Round Six-Shooter – Status: OPEN | |
Charles Howell | +400 |
David Puig | +400 |
Matthew Wolff | +400 |
Brendan Steele | +425 |
Jason Kokrak | +450 |
Peter Uihlein | +450 |
1st Round Score – Abraham Ancer | |
Type: 1st Round Score – Status: OPEN | |
Over 68.5 | -140 |
Under 68.5 | +100 |
1st Round Score – Adrian Meronk | |
Type: 1st Round Score – Status: OPEN | |
Over 69.5 | +100 |
Under 69.5 | -140 |
1st Round Score – Brendan Steele | |
Type: 1st Round Score – Status: OPEN | |
Over 69.5 | +100 |
Under 69.5 | -140 |
1st Round Score – Brooks Koepka | |
Type: 1st Round Score – Status: OPEN | |
Over 68.5 | +100 |
Under 68.5 | -140 |
1st Round Score – Bryson DeChambeau | |
Type: 1st Round Score – Status: OPEN | |
Over 68.5 | +110 |
Under 68.5 | -150 |
1st Round Score – Cameron Smith | |
Type: 1st Round Score – Status: OPEN | |
Over 68.5 | +110 |
Under 68.5 | -150 |
1st Round Score – Carlos Ortiz | |
Type: 1st Round Score – Status: OPEN | |
Over 68.5 | -140 |
Under 68.5 | +100 |
1st Round Score – Jon Rahm | |
Type: 1st Round Score – Status: OPEN | |
Over 67.5 | -140 |
Under 67.5 | +100 |
1st Round Score – Joaquin Niemann | |
Type: 1st Round Score – Status: OPEN | |
Over 67.5 | -150 |
Under 67.5 | +110 |
1st Round Score – Patrick Reed | |
Type: 1st Round Score – Status: OPEN | |
Over 68.5 | -140 |
Under 68.5 | +100 |
1st Round 3-Balls – A. Ancer / L. Oosthuizen / B. Watson | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Louis Oosthuizen | +110 |
Abraham Ancer | +150 |
Bubba Watson | +360 |
1st Round 3-Balls – T. Hatton / K. Na / M. Leishman | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Tyrrell Hatton | +110 |
Marc Leishman | +200 |
Kevin Na | +250 |
1st Round 3-Balls – B. Koepka / C. Smith / D. Burmester | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Cameron Smith | +165 |
Brooks Koepka | +175 |
Dean Burmester | +185 |
1st Round 3-Balls – I. Poulter / P. Reed / P. Casey | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Patrick Reed | +130 |
Paul Casey | +135 |
Ian Poulter | +320 |
1st Round 3-Balls – J. Rahm / J. Niemann / B. DeChambeau | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Jon Rahm | +150 |
Joaquin Niemann | +170 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +210 |
1st Round 3-Balls – B. Steele / T. Gooch / D. Johnson | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Talor Gooch | +130 |
Dustin Johnson | +175 |
Brendan Steele | +240 |
1st Round 3-Balls – S. Garcia / H. Stenson / P. Mickelson | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Sergio Garcia | +110 |
Henrik Stenson | +180 |
Phil Mickelson | +275 |
1st Round 3-Balls – L. Herbert / M. Pereira / H. Varner | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Lucas Herbert | +140 |
Mito Pereira | +165 |
Harold Varner III | +230 |
1st Round 3-Balls – C. Ortiz / M. Wolff / C. Schwartzel | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Carlos Ortiz | +140 |
Matthew Wolff | +175 |
Charl Schwartzel | +220 |
1st Round 3-Balls – P. Uihlein / R. Bland / M. Jones | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Peter Uihlein | +165 |
Richard Bland | +175 |
Matt Jones | +185 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – J. Svensson / H. Li / M. Manassero | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Haotong Li | +135 |
Jesper Svensson | +170 |
Matteo Manassero | +250 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – T. Kho / T. McKibbin / Y. Paul | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Tom McKibbin | +120 |
Yannick Paul | +145 |
Taichi Kho | +325 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – H. Xue / S. Tarrio / S. Jamieson | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Scott Jamieson | +100 |
Santiago Tarrio | +145 |
Han Xue | +425 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – A. Cockerill / Z. Jin / M. Kieffer | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Aaron Cockerill | +120 |
Maximilian Kieffer | +140 |
Zihao Jin | +350 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – M. Elvira / C. Jarvis / X. Luo | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Manuel Elvira | +105 |
Casey Jarvis | +130 |
Xuewen Luo | +475 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – R. Gouveia / A. Pavan / OM Prakash Chouhan | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Andrea Pavan | +135 |
Ricardo Gouveia | +145 |
Om Prakash Chouhan | +275 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – D. Hillier / J. Wang / D. Bradbury | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Daniel Hillier | +135 |
Dan Bradbury | +140 |
Jeunghun Wang | +300 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – S. Kodaira / S. Gallacher / N. Colsaerts | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Satoshi Kodaira | +120 |
Nicolas Colsaerts | +180 |
Stephen Gallacher | +250 |
Insperity Invitational | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Steven Alker | +450 |
Padraig Harrington | +600 |
Stephen Ames | +1200 |
Jerry Kelly | +1400 |
Miguel Angel Jimenez | +1400 |
David Toms | +1600 |
Ernie Els | +1600 |
Alex Cejka | +2000 |
Retief Goosen | +2000 |
KJ Choi | +2200 |
Click here for more… | |
1st Round 3-Balls – J. Leonard / S. Ames / P. Harrington | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Padraig Harrington | +105 |
Stephen Ames | +170 |
Justin Leonard | +330 |
1st Round 3-Balls – S. Alker / R. Goosen / E. Els | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Steven Alker | -105 |
Ernie Els | +230 |
Retief Goosen | +260 |
1st Round 3-Balls – M.A. Jimenez / J. Kelly / P. Broadhurst | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Jerry Kelly | +160 |
Miguel Angel Jimenez | +160 |
Paul Broadhurst | +220 |
1st Round 3-Balls – V. Singh / K.J. Choi / D. Toms | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
David Toms | +130 |
K.J. Choi | +170 |
Vijay Singh | +250 |
1st Round 3-Balls – C. Montgomerie / A. Cejka / D. Clarke | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Alex Cejka | +120 |
Darren Clarke | +170 |
Colin Montgomerie | +280 |
Scottie Scheffler Specials | |
Type: Scottie Scheffler Specials – Status: OPEN | |
Win Any Remaining Signature Event | -200 |
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & US Open (Top 10 Finish) | +115 |
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish) | +125 |
US Open (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish) | +135 |
All Remaining Signature Events – Top 10 Finish | +200 |
PGA Championship (Top 5 Finish) & The Open (Top 5 Finish) | +200 |
US Open (Top 5 Finish) & The Open (Top 5 Finish) | +210 |
PGA Championship (Top 10 Finish) & US Open (Top 10 Finish) & The Open (Top 10 Finish) | +240 |
PGA Championship (Top 5 Finish) & US Open (Top 5 Finish) | +280 |
Win 2 Remaining Signature Events | +450 |
Click here for more… | |
PGA Championship 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +350 |
Jon Rahm | +1200 |
Rory McIlroy | +1200 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1600 |
Brooks Koepka | +2000 |
Xander Schauffele | +2000 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +2500 |
Collin Morikawa | +2500 |
Max Homa | +2500 |
Patrick Cantlay | +2500 |
Click here for more… | |
Requests | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy – RBC Canadian Open Winner | +1000 |
Miles Russell – Win a Major before 30th birthday | +3500 |
Scottie Scheffler & Nelly Korda – Win All Remaining 2024 Majors | +50000 |
US Open 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +350 |
Jon Rahm | +1200 |
Rory McIlroy | +1200 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1600 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Viktor Hovland | +2000 |
Brooks Koepka | +2500 |
Cameron Smith | +2500 |
Patrick Cantlay | +2500 |
Xander Schauffele | +2500 |
Click here for more… | |
The Open Championship 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +500 |
Jon Rahm | +1000 |
Rory McIlroy | +1000 |
Viktor Hovland | +1100 |
Brooks Koepka | +2000 |
Cameron Smith | +2000 |
Cameron Young | +2000 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Ludvig Aberg | +2000 |
Jordan Spieth | +2500 |
Click here for more… | |
Requests | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
The Open Championship – Alex Noren – Top 20 Finish | +200 |
Solheim Cup 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
USA | -140 |
Europe | +135 |
Tie | +1200 |
Ryder Cup 2025 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
USA | -135 |
Europe | +135 |
Tie | +1000 |