References Basketball-Reference.com / Real Plus-Minus Elo ratings / Monte Carlo simulations / Box Plus/Minus / Simple Projection System The Details FiveThirtyEight’s NBA predictions have gone through quite an evolution over the years. Our first iteration simply relied on Elo ratings, the same old standby
How Our NBA Predictions Work
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| Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat | |
| Type: Moneyline – Status: OPEN | |
| Miami Heat | +2800 |
| Boston Celtics | -20000 |
| Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat | |
| Type: Moneyline – Status: OPEN | |
| Miami Heat – 1H | +370 |
| Boston Celtics – 1H | -510 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans | |
| Type: Point Spread – Status: OPEN | |
| New Orleans Pelicans – – – 1H | -110 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder – – – 1H | -110 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans | |
| Type: Moneyline – Status: OPEN | |
| New Orleans Pelicans | +625 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | -1000 |
| Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers | |
| Type: Moneyline – Status: OPEN | |
| Cleveland Cavaliers – 1H | +135 |
| Orlando Magic – 1H | -160 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic | |
| Type: Moneyline – Status: OPEN | |
| Orlando Magic | +600 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | -950 |
| Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks | |
| Type: Point Spread – Status: OPEN | |
| New York Knicks | -110 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | -110 |
| New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers | |
| Type: Moneyline – Status: OPEN | |
| New York Knicks | -500 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | +360 |
| Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets | |
| Type: Moneyline – Status: OPEN | |
| Denver Nuggets | -110 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | -110 |
| Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers | |
| Type: Moneyline – Status: OPEN | |
| Los Angeles Lakers | +775 |
| Denver Nuggets | -1500 |
| Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks | |
| Type: Moneyline – Status: OPEN | |
| Milwaukee Bucks – 1H | +140 |
| Indiana Pacers – 1H | -165 |
| Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers | |
| Type: Moneyline – Status: OPEN | |
| Indiana Pacers | -110 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | -110 |
| Dallas Mavericks vs L.A. Clippers | |
| Type: Total – Status: OPEN | |
| Over – 1H | -105 |
| Under – 1H | -115 |
| L.A. Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks | |
| Type: Moneyline – Status: OPEN | |
| Dallas Mavericks | -140 |
| L.A. Clippers | +120 |
| Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves | |
| Type: Point Spread – Status: OPEN | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves – 1H | -110 |
| Phoenix Suns – 1H | -110 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns | |
| Type: Moneyline – Status: OPEN | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | -420 |
| Phoenix Suns | +315 |