2022 AT&T Byron Nelson, Round 2 Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Sebastian Munoz (T1, -15, 19.8%) 2. Ryan Palmer (T1, -15, 13.2%) 3. Joaquin Niemann (T6, -12, 7.1%) 4. Jordan Spieth (T6, -12, 7.1%) 5. Justin Lower (4, -14, 5.8%) 6. David Skinns (T1, -15, 5.1%) 7. Hideki Matsuyama (T9, -11, 4.9%) 8. Kyounghoon Lee (T6, -12, 4.1%) 9. Alex Noren (T9, -11, 3.9%) 10. Justin Thomas (T15, -10, 3.8%) Top Strokes-Gained Performers from Round 2: Putting: Emiliano Grillo +3.4 Around the Green: Emiliano Grillo +2.6 Approach the Green: Rory Sabbatini +3.0 Off-the-tee: Joaquin Niemann +2.6 Total: Ryan Palmer +7.1 NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of the AT&T Byron Nelson, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.
Win probabilities: AT&T Byron Nelson
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Porsche European Open | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Victor Perez | +1600 |
Rasmus Hojgaard | +1800 |
Jordan Smith | +2000 |
Alexander Bjork | +2200 |
Antoine Rozner | +2200 |
Robert MacIntyre | +2200 |
Romain Langasque | +2500 |
Thorbjorn Olesen | +2500 |
Yannik Paul | +2500 |
Jorge Campillo | +2800 |
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Tournament Match-Up - H. Matsuyama vs M. Fitzpatrick | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up - Status: OPEN | |
Hideki Matsuyama | -115 |
Matthew Fitzpatrick | -115 |
Tournament Match-Up - R. Fowler vs W. Clark | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up - Status: OPEN | |
Rickie Fowler | -120 |
Wyndham Clark | -110 |
Tournament Match-Up - S. Burns vs C. Conners | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up - Status: OPEN | |
Sam Burns | -120 |
Corey Conners | -110 |
Tournament Match-Up - V. Hovland vs J. Thomas | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up - Status: OPEN | |
Viktor Hovland | -130 |
Justin Thomas | +100 |
Tournament Match-Up - C. Morikawa vs J. Day | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up - Status: OPEN | |
Collin Morikawa | -120 |
Jason Day | -110 |
Tournament Match-Up - C. Young v S. Im | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up - Status: OPEN | |
Cameron Young | -115 |
Sungjae Im | -115 |
Tournament Match-Up - J. Rahm vs S. Scheffler | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up - Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | -125 |
Jon Rahm | -105 |
Tournament Match-Up - J. Spieth vs T. Hatton | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up - Status: OPEN | |
Jordan Spieth | -115 |
Tyrrell Hatton | -115 |
Tournament Match-Up - R. McIlroy vs X. Schauffele | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up - Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy | -115 |
Xander Schauffele | -115 |
Tournament Match-Up - S. Theegala vs T. Kim | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up - Status: OPEN | |
Sahith Theegala | -125 |
Tom Kim | -105 |
The Memorial Tournament | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Jon Rahm | +700 |
Scottie Scheffler | +700 |
Patrick Cantlay | +1100 |
Xander Schauffele | +1100 |
Rory McIlroy | +1600 |
Viktor Hovland | +1600 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Jason Day | +2800 |
Justin Thomas | +2800 |
Sungjae Im | +2800 |
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Tournament Specials | |
Type: Finishing Position - Cameron Young - Status: OPEN | |
28 or Better | -105 |
29 or Worse | -125 |
Principal Charity Classic | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Steve Stricker | +225 |
Miguel Angel Jimenez | +1100 |
Ernie Els | +1200 |
Bernhard Langer | +1600 |
Jerry Kelly | +1600 |
Stephen Ames | +1600 |
David Toms | +1800 |
Fred Couples | +2000 |
Alex Cejka | +2200 |
Kevin Sutherland | +2800 |
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US Open 2023 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Brooks Koepka | +900 |
Jon Rahm | +900 |
Scottie Scheffler | +900 |
Rory McIlroy | +1200 |
Collin Morikawa | +1800 |
Patrick Cantlay | +1800 |
Max Homa | +2000 |
Xander Schauffele | +2000 |
Justin Thomas | +2200 |
Viktor Hovland | +2200 |
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The Match 8 | |
Type: Outright - Status: OPEN | |
Steph Curry / Klay Thompson | -250 |
Patrick Mahomes / Travis Kelce | +175 |
The Open Championship 2023 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Jon Rahm | +800 |
Rory McIlroy | +1000 |
Scottie Scheffler | +1100 |
Brooks Koepka | +1200 |
Jordan Spieth | +1400 |
Cameron Smith | +1800 |
Justin Thomas | +1800 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Xander Schauffele | +2200 |
Cameron Young | +2500 |
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Futures 2023 | |
Type: Futures 2023 - Status: OPEN | |
A LIV Golfer to win The Open | +275 |
Bryson Dechambeau to win the World Longest Drive Championship | +350 |
Greg Norman to resign as LIV CEO | +350 |
The Open - Top 20 Finish - Any Amateur | +500 |
Rory McIlroy & Jon Rahm Both to Win a Major | +600 |
Any Player to win 5 points in the Ryder Cup | +850 |
Rory McIlroy to Win 2023 RBC Canadian Open | +1000 |
Longest drive in PGA Tour history to be recorded *477+ yards | +1200 |
Either team to score 20+ points in the Ryder Cup | +1400 |
Rasmus & Nicolai Hojgaard both to make the European Ryder Cup team | +1400 |
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Solheim Cup 2023 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Europe | +100 |
USA | +100 |
Tie | +1200 |
Ryder Cup 2023 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
USA | -175 |
Europe | +185 |
Tie | +1200 |
The Masters 2024 | |
Type: Winner - Status: OPEN | |
Jon Rahm | +700 |
Scottie Scheffler | +900 |
Rory McIlroy | +1000 |
Brooks Koepka | +1200 |
Jordan Spieth | +1400 |
Patrick Cantlay | +1800 |
Justin Thomas | +2000 |
Cameron Smith | +2200 |
Collin Morikawa | +2200 |
Xander Schauffele | +2200 |
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