Winning on the PGA TOUR never is easy, but even though Dustin Johnson has 20 titles, including at least one in every season since debuting as a member in 2008, that he’s been shut out since his video game-like performance at the World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship last year is surprising. DJ has averaged one victory in every 13 starts of his career. His title defense at Club de Golf Chapultepec is his 17th start since his five-shot romp, so there’s a narrative that he’s due. Scroll past the extended ranking of projected contenders for how Johnson got the job done, how the host course challenges and more. POWER RANKINGS: WGC-MEXICO CHAMPIONSHIP Jordan Spieth, Marc Leishman, Gary Woodland, Sungjae Im, Kevin Kisner and Tyrrell Hatton will be among the notables reviewed in Tuesday’s Fantasy Insider. Johnson already is going for his third title in the event since its relocation to Mexico City in 2017. Last year, he led the field in both greens in regulation (58 of 72) and Strokes Gained: Putting. He gave back only three strokes (with one bogey and one double) en route to 21-under 263. To classify it as vintage DJ would be understating it. Lights-out performances occur far and few between, but he proved that it’s possible on deceptively cozy Club de Golf Chapultepec. The par 35-36–71 can stretch to 7,355 yards, but it plays about 10 percent shorter given its altitude north of 7,500 feet. (The course is 10 yards longer than it was in the last two years due to the extension of the par-5 11th hole to 632 yards.) Naturally, because of the thinner air, every ball in it flies further than at sea level, so you’d expect the course to ranked among the longest on average off the tee. In fact, at 303.6 yards last year, it easily was the longest of 35 measured. Adjusting every club by converting cover distance is more important than getting it as far from the tee as possible. Course management is critical. Primary rough is allowed to grow two-and-a-half inches and the Poa-bentgrass greens are small on average. They’re also among the most undulating the field of 72 will attempt to solve all season. Approach-putt performance isn’t a statistic discussed much, but it can reveal various levels of experience and challenge. Last year, Club de Golf Chapultepec was the stingiest track with an average of two feet, seven inches. Given that small measurement, a single inch can affect overall ranking considerably, but consider what it means in an of itself. Even in its third spin as host, the greens continued to serve as the primary defense. They also might be allowed to run as long as 12 feet on the Stimpmeter, so they will be faster than before. Mother Nature will do her part in seeing to it, too. Sunshine dominates the forecast. Winds will be moderate at worst, and not steadily influential. DJ’s impressive work aside, last year’s field still averaged 70.861 last year. Even-par 284 finished T39. There is no cut. The winner receives 550 FedExCup points and a three-year membership exemption. All bunkers were upgraded with new sand and drainage since last year, but they essentially present the same challenge from the same spots of bother. ROB BOLTON’S SCHEDULE PGATOUR.COM’s Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton recaps and previews every tournament from numerous angles. Look for his following contributions as scheduled. MONDAY: Rookie Ranking, Qualifiers, Reshuffle, Medical Extensions, Power Rankings TUESDAY*: Power Rankings (Puerto Rico), Sleepers (WGC-Mexico), Fantasy Insider * – Rob is a member of the panel for PGATOUR.COM’s Expert Picks for PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf, which also publishes on Tuesday.
Power Rankings: World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship
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Saudi Open | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
David Puig | +350 |
Haotong Li | +400 |
John Catlin | +450 |
Scott Hend | +600 |
Steve Lewton | +800 |
Kiradech Aphibarnrat | +1400 |
Tatsunori Shogenji | +1600 |
Wade Ormsby | +1600 |
Justin Quiban | +2500 |
Prom Meesawat | +2500 |
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Tournament Match-Up – M. Homa vs J. Spieth | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Max Homa | -120 |
Jordan Spieth | -110 |
Tournament Match-Up – S. Scheffler vs X. Schauffele | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | -210 |
Xander Schauffele | +160 |
1st Round Matchups – S. Scheffler vs M. Homa | |
Type: 1st Round Matchups – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | -220 |
Max Homa | +180 |
1st Round Matchups – W. Zalatoris vs J. Spieth | |
Type: 1st Round Matchups – Status: OPEN | |
Jordan Spieth | -115 |
Will Zalatoris | -105 |
1st Round 2 Balls – J. Spieth v S. Scheffler | |
Type: 1st Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | -220 |
Jordan Spieth | +180 |
Tie | |
1st Round Match-Up – J. Spieth v W. Zalatoris | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Jordan Spieth | -115 |
Will Zalatoris | -115 |
Tournament Match-Up – W. Clark vs S. Theegala | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Wyndham Clark | -120 |
Sahith Theegala | -110 |
1st Round Matchups – T. Fleetwood vs W. Clark | |
Type: 1st Round Matchups – Status: OPEN | |
Tommy Fleetwood | -145 |
Wyndham Clark | +120 |
1st Round Matchups – S. Theegala vs J. Thomas | |
Type: 1st Round Matchups – Status: OPEN | |
Sahith Theegala | -120 |
Justin Thomas | +100 |
1st Round 2 Balls – S. Theegala v W. Clark | |
Type: 1st Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Wyndham Clark | -115 |
Sahith Theegala | -105 |
Tournament Match-Up – C. Morikawa vs T. Fleetwood | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Collin Morikawa | -115 |
Tommy Fleetwood | -115 |
1st Round 2 Balls – M. Homa v T. Fleetwood | |
Type: 1st Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Tommy Fleetwood | -115 |
Max Homa | -105 |
Tournament Match-Up – T. Fleetwood v M. Homa | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
Tommy Fleetwood | -130 |
Max Homa | +100 |
1st Round 2 Balls – J. Thomas v K. Kisner | |
Type: 1st Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Kevin Kisner | +260 |
Justin Thomas | -325 |
1st Round Matchups – P. Malnati v C. Phillips | |
Type: 1st Round Matchups – Status: OPEN | |
Peter Malnati | -115 |
Chandler Phillips | -105 |
1st Round 2 Balls – C. Phillips v C. Bezuidenhout | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Christiaan Bezuidenhout | -140 |
Chandler Phillips | +160 |
Tie | +750 |
1st Round Match-Up – C. Bezuidenhout v H. English | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Christiaan Bezuidenhout | -115 |
Harris English | -115 |
1st Round Matchups – A. Bhatia vs D. McCarthy | |
Type: 1st Round Matchups – Status: OPEN | |
Akshay Bhatia | -110 |
Denny McCarthy | -110 |
1st Round 2 Balls – A. Bhatia v W. Zalatoris | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Will Zalatoris | -110 |
Akshay Bhatia | +120 |
Tie | +750 |
Tournament Match-Up – W. Zalatoris v A. Bhatia | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
Will Zalatoris | -135 |
Akshay Bhatia | +105 |
1st Round Matchups – T. Detry v J. Knapp | |
Type: 1st Round Matchups – Status: OPEN | |
Thomas Detry | -125 |
Jake Knapp | +105 |
1st Round 2 Balls – G. Murray v T. Detry | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Thomas Detry | -140 |
Grayson Murray | +150 |
Tie | +750 |
Tournament Match-Up – D. Ghim vs K. Yu | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Doug Ghim | -115 |
Kevin Yu | -115 |
1st Round Matchups – S. Lowry vs T. Kim | |
Type: 1st Round Matchups – Status: OPEN | |
Shane Lowry | -120 |
Tom Kim | +100 |
1st Round Matchups – S. Jaeger v T. Hoge | |
Type: 1st Round Matchups – Status: OPEN | |
Stephan Jaeger | -110 |
Tom Hoge | -110 |
1st Round 3-Balls – B. Haas / D. Ghim / K. Yu | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Doug Ghim | +115 |
Kevin Yu | +125 |
Bill Haas | +425 |
1st Round Match-Ups – A. Rai vs D. Ghim | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Aaron Rai | -110 |
Doug Ghim | -110 |
1st Round Match-Ups – D. Thompson vs K. Yu | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Davis Thompson | -110 |
Kevin Yu | -110 |
1st Round 2 Balls – S. Lowry v S. Jaeger | |
Type: 1st Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Stephan Jaeger | +135 |
Shane Lowry | -165 |
1st Round 2 Balls – J. Knapp v P. Malnati | |
Type: 1st Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Peter Malnati | -105 |
Jake Knapp | -115 |
1st Round 3-Balls – S. Piercy / R. Armour / M. NeSmith | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Matt NeSmith | +125 |
Scott Piercy | +170 |
Ryan Armour | +250 |
1st Round 3-Balls – K. Tway / W. Bryan / M. Hubbard | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Mark Hubbard | +100 |
Kevin Tway | +200 |
Wesley Bryan | +280 |
1st Round Match-Ups – M. Hubbard vs B. Griffin | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Mark Hubbard | -115 |
Ben Griffin | -105 |
Tournament Match-Up – B. Harman vs C. Conners | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Brian Harman | -115 |
Corey Conners | -115 |
1st Round Matchups – C. Conners vs B. Harman | |
Type: 1st Round Matchups – Status: OPEN | |
Corey Conners | -115 |
Brian Harman | -105 |
1st Round 2 Balls – C. Conners v T. Hoge | |
Type: 1st Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Corey Conners | -135 |
Tom Hoge | +115 |
1st Round 3-Balls – R. Palmer / K. Chappell / G. Sigg | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Greyson Sigg | +130 |
Kevin Chappell | +200 |
Ryan Palmer | +210 |
1st Round 3-Balls – R. Streb / N. Watney / V. Whaley | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Vince Whaley | -120 |
Robert Streb | +210 |
Nick Watney | +330 |
1st Round Match-Ups – J. Lower vs G. Sigg | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Greyson Sigg | -110 |
Justin Lower | -110 |
1st Round Matchups – T. Moore vs H. English | |
Type: 1st Round Matchups – Status: OPEN | |
Harris English | -120 |
Taylor Moore | +100 |
1st Round 2 Balls – H. English v T. Kim | |
Type: 1st Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Harris English | -105 |
Tom Kim | -115 |
Tournament Match-Up – B. Griffin vs K. Lee | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Ben Griffin | -120 |
K H Lee | -110 |
1st Round 3-Balls – N. Echavarria / C. Ramey / D. Berger | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Daniel Berger | +150 |
Chad Ramey | +165 |
Nico Echavarria | +220 |
1st Round 3-Balls – K.H. Lee / R. Brehm / B. Griffin | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Ben Griffin | +130 |
K H Lee | +145 |
Ryan Brehm | +300 |
1st Round Match-Ups – D. Berger vs J. Vegas | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Daniel Berger | -110 |
Jhonattan Vegas | -110 |
1st Round Match-Ups – K.H. Lee vs B. Martin | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
K.H. Lee | -115 |
Ben Martin | -105 |
Tournament Match-Up – P. Cantlay vs M. Fitzpatrick | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Patrick Cantlay | -135 |
Matt Fitzpatrick | +105 |
1st Round Matchups – P. Cantlay vs M. Fitzpatrick | |
Type: 1st Round Matchups – Status: OPEN | |
Patrick Cantlay | -120 |
Matt Fitzpatrick | +100 |
1st Round Matchups – P. Rodgers v S. Power | |
Type: 1st Round Matchups – Status: OPEN | |
Patrick Rodgers | -110 |
Seamus Power | -110 |
1st Round 2 Balls – P. Cantlay v S. Power | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Patrick Cantlay | -200 |
Seamus Power | +220 |
Tie | +800 |
1st Round 3-Balls – J. Dahmen / J. Lower / D. Thompson | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Davis Thompson | +145 |
Joel Dahmen | +190 |
Justin Lower | +190 |
1st Round 3-Balls – T. Gainey / T. Pendrith / B. Wu | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Taylor Pendrith | +130 |
Brandon Wu | +165 |
Tommy Gainey | +260 |
1st Round Match-Ups – J. Dahmen vs M. Greyserman | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Joel Dahmen | -110 |
Max Greyserman | -110 |
1st Round Match-Ups – M. Kim vs T. Pendrith | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Ups – Status: OPEN | |
Michael Kim | -110 |
Taylor Pendrith | -110 |
1st Round Matchups – A. Hadwin vs B. Todd | |
Type: 1st Round Matchups – Status: OPEN | |
Adam Hadwin | -110 |
Brendon Todd | -110 |
1st Round 2 Balls – A. Hadwin v P. Rodgers | |
Type: 1st Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Adam Hadwin | -135 |
Patrick Rodgers | +115 |
1st Round 3-Balls – M. Kim / B. Martin / S. Gutschewski | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Ben Martin | +120 |
Michael Kim | +140 |
Scott Gutschewski | +350 |
1st Round 3-Balls – P. Kizzire / J. Hahn / J. Teater | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Patton Kizzire | +170 |
Josh Teater | +175 |
James Hahn | +180 |
1st Round 2 Balls – B. Todd v R. Fowler | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Brendon Todd | -115 |
Rickie Fowler | +125 |
Tie | +750 |
1st Round 3-Balls – T. Duncan / A. Rai / B. Kohles | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Aaron Rai | +115 |
Tyler Duncan | +185 |
Ben Kohles | +250 |
1st Round 3-Balls – M. Trainer / J. Vegas / J. Dufner | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Jhonattan Vegas | +120 |
Martin Trainer | +170 |
Jason Dufner | +275 |
1st Round Matchups – S. Straka vs S. Im | |
Type: 1st Round Matchups – Status: OPEN | |
Sepp Straka | -110 |
Sungjae Im | -110 |
1st Round Matchups – D. McCarthy v B. Harman | |
Type: 1st Round Matchups – Status: OPEN | |
Denny McCarthy | -115 |
Brian Harman | -105 |
1st Round 2 Balls – D. McCarthy v S. Straka | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Denny McCarthy | +100 |
Sepp Straka | +110 |
Tie | +750 |
1st Round 3-Balls – C. Gotterup / C. Johnson / B. Silverman | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Chris Gotterup | +125 |
Ben Silverman | +140 |
Chase Johnson | +320 |
1st Round 2 Balls – J. Rose v T. Moore | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Taylor Moore | -120 |
Justin Rose | +130 |
Tie | +750 |
1st Round 2 Balls – B. Harman v S. Im | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Brian Harman | +100 |
Sungjae Im | +110 |
Tie | +750 |
1st Round 2 Balls – M. Fitzpatrick v N. Taylor | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Matt Fitzpatrick | -135 |
Nick Taylor | +150 |
Tie | +750 |
1st Round 3-Balls – E.H. Ji / L. Salas / L. Li | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Lucy Li | +150 |
Eun Hee Ji | +185 |
Lizette Salas | +190 |
Tournament Match-Up – L. Aberg vs R. McIlroy | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Ludvig Aberg | -130 |
Rory McIlroy | +110 |
1st Round Matchups – R. McIIroy vs C. Morikawa | |
Type: 1st Round Matchups – Status: OPEN | |
Collin Morikawa | -110 |
Rory McIlroy | -110 |
1st Round Matchups – X. Schauffele vs L. Aberg | |
Type: 1st Round Matchups – Status: OPEN | |
Xander Schauffele | -125 |
Ludvig Aberg | +105 |
1st Round 2 Balls – L. Aberg v R. McIlroy | |
Type: 1st Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Ludvig Aberg | -105 |
Rory McIlroy | -115 |
1st Round 3-Balls – R. Zhang / H.J. Kim / N. Hataoka | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Rose Zhang | +165 |
Hyo Joo Kim | +175 |
Nasa Hataoka | +185 |
1st Round 2 Balls – C. Morikawa v X. Schauffele | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Xander Schauffele | -110 |
Collin Morikawa | +120 |
Tie | +750 |
1st Round 3-Balls – C. Boutier / A. Corpuz / R. Yin | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Ruoning Yin | +160 |
Celine Boutier | +165 |
Allisen Corpuz | +200 |
1st Round Matchups – W. Simpson v N. Dunlap | |
Type: 1st Round Matchups – Status: OPEN | |
Webb Simpson | -135 |
Nick Dunlap | +115 |
1st Round 2 Balls – G. Woodland v W. Simpson | |
Type: 1st Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Gary Woodland | +115 |
Webb Simpson | -135 |
1st Round 3-Balls – N. Korda / M. Lee / L. Vu | |
Type: 1st Round 3-Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Nelly Korda | -105 |
Lilia Vu | +240 |
Minjee Lee | +250 |
1st Round 2 Balls – B. Garnett v N. Dunlap | |
Type: 1st Round 2 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Brice Garnett | +100 |
Nick Dunlap | -120 |
Invited Celebrity Classic | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Jerry Kelly | +650 |
Alex Cejka | +800 |
Brian Gay | +1200 |
David Toms | +1400 |
Retief Goosen | +1400 |
KJ Choi | +1600 |
Thongchai Jaidee | +1800 |
Y E Yang | +1800 |
Mark Hensby | +2000 |
Paul Broadhurst | +2000 |
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Tiger Woods Retirement | |
Type: To announce retirement in 2024 – Status: OPEN | |
No | -650 |
Yes | +400 |
To Join LIV Golf | |
Type: To Join LIV – Status: OPEN | |
No | -2500 |
Yes | +1000 |
Adelaide | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Jon Rahm | +600 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +900 |
Joaquin Niemann | +1100 |
Cameron Smith | +1200 |
Talor Gooch | +1200 |
Tyrrell Hatton | +1200 |
Dustin Johnson | +2000 |
Abraham Ancer | +2200 |
Brooks Koepka | +2200 |
Louis Oosthuizen | +2200 |
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PGA Championship 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +400 |
Jon Rahm | +1200 |
Rory McIlroy | +1200 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1600 |
Brooks Koepka | +2000 |
Xander Schauffele | +2000 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +2500 |
Collin Morikawa | +2500 |
Max Homa | +2500 |
Patrick Cantlay | +2500 |
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US Open 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +400 |
Jon Rahm | +1200 |
Rory McIlroy | +1200 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1600 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Viktor Hovland | +2000 |
Brooks Koepka | +2500 |
Cameron Smith | +2500 |
Patrick Cantlay | +2500 |
Xander Schauffele | +2500 |
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The Open Championship 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +500 |
Jon Rahm | +1000 |
Rory McIlroy | +1000 |
Viktor Hovland | +1100 |
Brooks Koepka | +2000 |
Cameron Smith | +2000 |
Cameron Young | +2000 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Ludvig Aberg | +2000 |
Jordan Spieth | +2500 |
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Requests | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
The Open Championship – Alex Noren – Top 20 Finish | +200 |
Solheim Cup 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
USA | -140 |
Europe | +135 |
Tie | +1200 |
Ryder Cup 2025 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
USA | -135 |
Europe | +135 |
Tie | +1000 |