Pick ‘Em Preview: John Deere Classic

If you’re new to PGA TOUR Pick ‘Em Live and wondered if you need to be invested in the winner of the tournament to cash as a top-five finisher, nope! At last week’s Travelers Championship, the only gamer in the prize money who connected with champion Xander Schauffele was the previously inaccurately named Didiwinyet. However, only 18 of that entry’s 6,294 coins were as a result of the victory because it didn’t snare Schauffele until he was at (-555). The highest finisher with Schauffele at plus-odds was Ggrich1951 in ninth place. It had Schauffele at +2200, but was worth just under 60 percent of its total of 3,702. The lesson is that, when a favorite wins, prizewinners likely will have hauled in their coins in the bets for Top 10s, Top 20s and round leaders. Ties in 2-balls also are valuable. As Rob has illustrated over time, there’s virtually no reason in not picking ties when available. You’d have to finish inside the top five for a winner of a 2- or 3-ball to make a difference, but first you need to be inside the top five. One hurdle before the other. Placing fifth just once is infinitely more lucrative than finishing sixth every week (unless, of course, when payouts are extended, as they were in the last two majors). Last week’s fifth-place finisher, Girazi, rode the rail with Michael Thorbjornsen in all three weeklong bets. Sure enough, the amateur finished fourth and yielded 4,000 coins for the Top 10 and 1,200 coins for the Top 20. The aggregate 5,200 comprised all of Girazi’s coins for $250. It that’s your kind of action, this week’s John Deere Classic is for you. As Glass and Rob demonstrate below, ownership dispersion will be vast, and rightly so. It’s wide-open. Exploit it. Register for PGA TOUR Pick ‘Em Live here and monitor Rob’s and Glass’ progress as Influencers. For a broader explanation of the format and FAQs, click here. TOURNAMENT TO WIN Glass … Scott Brown (+12500) The value on the board this week is interesting and perhaps even non-existent. It happens. The beauty of this game is the ability to shift, zag or zig on the fly, so let’s use this to our advantage. Brown’s worst payday here is T27 from seven weekends (nine starts), so the course angle is covered. T10 last week on the Korn Ferry Tour suggests he’s showing enough form. If not, we’ll move on. A shootout leaves more doors open to start big and work back as needed! Rob … Martin Laird (+6000) Hear me out here. Because I’m not in love with any of the longshots, I believe that the winner will open shorter than +10000. Of that subset, if Laird opens strong, his odds won’t be as favorable as they are pre-tournament, obviously, so the idea is to buy high on a former PGA TOUR winner with experience at TPC Deere Run. Shootouts demands accuracy on approach. It’s a strength he’s wielded throughout his career. His weakness is the putter, but – BUT! – as noted in my Power Rankings, it’s one of the easiest to avoid three-putting, and – AND! – he’s one of the best scramblers, so what bothers him most is given a week off. TOP 10 Glass … Chesson Hadley (+1000) If we’re gonna play with fire, let’s get that fuse lit! Hadley opened with 63 here last year and rolls in with a solo fifth last week. HEY, IT’S SOMETHING. The fireworks on the weekend stateside should wake you up early enough to adjust either Saturday or Sunday morning. Rob … Scott Brown (+1300) Don’t know why Glass didn’t double down on Brown given that his odds are longer than Hadley’s, but it’s not the first, second or 39th time that Glass has made a decision that’s baffled me. So what? I’m reaching here because the odds are shorter than the board for the outrights, of course. Let’s play Home Run Derby. TOP 20 Glass … Austin Cook (+800) OK, let’s gamble! Panning for gold to find a number here, but I’m trying to connect a couple of dots and catch a big fish. Cook posted 64 in Round 2 in Canada and 65 at TPC River Highlands last week so there’s something brewing until there isn’t. His last top 10 was P2 at TPC Summerlin. Those who have done the business there have shown fleeting success in the Quad Cities. Please keep all arms and legs inside the ride at all times! Rob … John Huh (+210) I’ve let Glass lead off in each bet because he’s mopped the floor with me for about a month. He’s earned the honor. However, unless he pivots at the midpoint, if necessary, he could be stuck with Cook. This bet hasn’t been open for me as late as 2:15 a.m. West Coast Time in recent weeks. I have no problem limping to the window with Huh at this value. Top 20s are hard but he’s hung up two in his last three starts. The other resulted in a T25. That’s good enough for me from a guy in form who shreds it tee to green. ROUND 1 LEADER Rob … Martin Laird (+8000) Since the finishing holes of both nines at TPC Deere Run are long, challenging par 4s, I like a guy who starts on the par-5 10th and cycles through all three par 5s in his first 11 holes. It eases him into the round and presents the opportunity to generate momentum. The flip trip is a heavier lift in the context of the flow. It’s a coincidence that Laird is my outright. Even if he wasn’t, he’d be this pick. He opened with 63 at TPC River Highlands last week and he averaged 68.375 with all red numbers across all four rounds of the last two editions of the JDC. He goes off No. 10 at 7:40 a.m. Coincidentally, one of his playing partners is my old FRL nemesis, Patton Kizzire. This is to say that I’m expecting to revise my selection sometime midday on Thursday. Glass … Scott Stallings (+5000) Played his final 54 holes at the Travelers Championship 64-68-63 in red-hot form, so I’m going to pay money and take my chances that it continues. He’s off on No. 10 at 7:07 a.m. (local), so if he isn’t a morning person, I’ll find a replacement as the day moves along. If you prefer a guy who opened with 62 and closed with 64 last week, J.T. Poston is off at 7:27 a.m. (local). NOTE: While Glass and Rob typically stick with their selections as detailed in Pick ‘Em Preview, they are allowed the right to make changes at any time.

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Hero Indian Open
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN
Jordan Smith+650
Joost Luiten+750
Keita Nakajima+750
Matteo Manassero+1100
Ewen Ferguson+1400
Sam Bairstow+1400
Adrian Otaegui+1600
Romain Langasque+1600
Fabrizio Zanotti+2800
Alex Fitzpatrick+3000
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2nd Round 3 Balls – D. Ravetto / A. Sandhu / P. Figueiredo
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN
David Ravetto+110
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Pedro Figueiredo+275
2nd Round 3 Balls – S. Baisoya / D. Lawson / R. Gouveia
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN
Ricardo Gouveia+165
Deyen Lawson+170
Sachin Baisoya+185
2nd Round 3 Balls – R. Khan / D. Van Tonder / Y. Sandhu
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN
Daniel Van Tonder+120
Rashid Khan+180
Yuvraj Sandhu+250
2nd Round 3 Balls – J. Goth-Rasmussen / J. Lyras / K. Pratap Singh
Type: 1st Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN
John Lyras+170
Jonathan Goth-Rasmussen+175
Karan Pratap Singh+175
2nd Round 3 Balls – E. Kofstad / L. Scalise / J. Weon Ko
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN
Jeong Weon Ko+130
Lorenzo Scalise+150
Espen Kofstad+280
2nd Round Match-Up – S. Bairstow v A Fitzpatrick
Type: 2nd Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN
Alex Fitzpatrick-120
Sam Bairstow+100
2nd Round Match-Up – J. Luiten v R. Cabrera Bello
Type: 2nd Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN
Joost Luiten-165
Rafa Cabrera Bello+125
2nd Round 3 Balls – R. Cabrera Bello / A. Fitzpatrick / S. Kapur
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN
Alex Fitzpatrick-115
Rafa Cabrera Bello+180
Shiv Kapur+400
2nd Round Match-Up – J. Veerman v M. Kieffer
Type: 2nd Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN
Johannes Veerman-110
Maximillian Kieffer-110
2nd Round Match-Up – J. Morrison v T. Lewis
Type: 2nd Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN
James Morrison-110
Tom Lewis-110
2nd Round 3 Balls – J. Veerman / A. Hidalgo / J. Morrison
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN
Angel Hidalgo+150
Johannes Veerman+170
James Morrison+210
2nd Round Match-Up – M. Kawamura v A. Sullivan
Type: 2nd Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN
Andy Sullivan-120
Masahiro Kawamura+100
2nd Round 3 Balls – E. Ferguson / M. Kieffer / A. Sullivan
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN
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2nd Round Match-Up – C. Jarvis v M. Penge
Type: 2nd Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN
Casey Jarvis-135
Marco Penge+105
2nd Round 3 Balls – M. Penge / M. Kinhult / L. Nemecz
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Lukas Nemecz+165
Marco Penge+170
Marcus Kinhult+190
2nd Round 3 Balls – J. Parry / D. Hillier / S. Bairstow
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN
Sam Bairstow+130
Daniel Hillier+180
John Parry+225
2nd Round 3 Balls – M. Schneider / C. Jarvis / M. Schwab
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN
Matthias Schwab+150
Casey Jarvis+180
Marcel Schneider+190
2nd Round 3 Balls – M. Kawamura / F. Lacroix / K. Kobori
Type: 1st Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN
Frederic Lacroix+130
Masahiro Kawamura+180
Kazuma Kobori+225
2nd Round Match-Up – B. Stone v G. Migliozzi
Type: 2nd Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN
Guido Migliozzi-125
Brandon Stone+105
2nd Round Match-Up – S. Sharma v A. Otaegui
Type: 2nd Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN
Adrian Otaegui-120
Shubankar Sharma+100
The Galleri Classic
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Steve Stricker+350
Steven Alker+650
Miguel Angel Jimenez+1100
Jerry Kelly+1200
Stephen Ames+1400
Ernie Els+1600
Alex Cejka+1800
Brian Gay+2000
KJ Choi+2500
Kevin Sutherland+2500
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Type: To Win A Major 2024 – Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+125
Jon Rahm+225
Rory McIlroy+225
Viktor Hovland+225
Brooks Koepka+350
Ludvig Aberg+350
Patrick Cantlay+400
Collin Morikawa+450
Justin Thomas+450
Wyndham Clark+450
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The Masters 2024
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+450
Rory McIlroy+1100
Jon Rahm+1200
Brooks Koepka+1800
Jordan Spieth+2000
Xander Schauffele+2000
Hideki Matsuyama+2500
Joaquin Niemann+2500
Justin Thomas+2500
Ludvig Aberg+2500
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PGA Championship 2024
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+700
Jon Rahm+1000
Rory McIlroy+1000
Viktor Hovland+1400
Brooks Koepka+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+2000
Patrick Cantlay+2000
Wyndham Clark+2000
Xander Schauffele+2000
Cameron Smith+2500
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US Open 2024
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Scottie Scheffler+700
Rory McIlroy+800
Jon Rahm+900
Viktor Hovland+1000
Cameron Smith+1600
Brooks Koepka+1800
Cameron Young+2000
Collin Morikawa+2000
Ludvig Aberg+2000
Patrick Cantlay+2000
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The Open Championship 2024
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN
Scottie Scheffler+800
Jon Rahm+1000
Rory McIlroy+1000
Viktor Hovland+1100
Brooks Koepka+2000
Cameron Smith+2000
Cameron Young+2000
Collin Morikawa+2000
Jordan Spieth+2500
Ludvig Aberg+2500
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Type: Winner – Status: OPEN
USA-140
Europe+135
Tie+1200
Ryder Cup 2025
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN
USA-135
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