Charles Howell III is headed to the TOUR Championship … provided that the historical trend of recent FedExCup Playoffs holds in the revamped schedule for the 2018-19 PGA TOUR season. Thanks to his win Sunday at The RSM Classic, Howell moved to the top of the FedExCup standings after the completion of the fall portion of the wraparound schedule. The previous five players who have finished the fall atop the standings each eventually advanced to the 30-man Playoffs finale at East Lake in their given season. That’s the good news for Howell. The bad news is that none of those five won the FedExCup. Jimmy Walker, the fall points leader in the 2013-14 season, had the best overall finish at seventh in points. Last year’s fall leader, Patton Kizzire, just squeezed into East Lake and finished 30th. This season’s FedExCup Playoffs offers an unknown factor than previous seasons, since the Playoffs have been reduced from four to three tournaments. But if Howell can maintain his position inside the top 30 after the second event, the BMW Championship, he will advance to the TOUR Championship for the first time since 2011. PREVIOUS FALL POINTS LEADERS ON THE FLIP SIDE None of the last five FedExCup champions earned less than 34 points in the fall events (Jordan Spieth in 2015). In fact, the other four champions earned at least 100 points in the fall; last season’s champ, Justin Rose, finished the fall a year ago with 550 points. That historical trend is bad news for notables such as Dustin Johnson (who currently has 28 points), Rory McIlroy (six points) and Jordan Spieth (six points). PLENTY OF POINT-GATHERERS A total of 215 players earned at least one point this fall – that’s the most in the six seasons of the wraparound schedule. Getting at least one point in the fall gives a player better than a 50-50 chance of making the Playoffs. In the previous five seasons, a total of 1,023 players earned points in the fall – and nearly 57 percent of those players went on to qualify for the FedExCup Playoffs Taking it one more step, more than 12 percent of those players made it to the TOUR Championship. But here’s the most telling statistic that emphasizes the importance of the fall – just 21 of a possible 150 players earned a spot in the TOUR Championship after failing to play or earn at least a single point in the fall. Tiger Woods did that last season … and he’ll hope to do it again this season. WHO IS THE FALL KING? In the five years of the wraparound schedule, no player has earned more FedExCup points than Justin Thomas – not surprising since three of his nine career wins have come in the fall (CIMB Classic in 2015 and 2016; CJ CUP @ NINE BRIDGES in 2017). Ryan Moore, Russell Knox and Charles Howell III are the next three players on that list. Thomas has made 18 fall starts in the history of the wraparound schedule to accumulate his 2,087 points. That’s an average of 115.9 points per start – good, but not the best. No player has been more efficient in the fall than current FedExCup champ Justin Rose. He has made five starts in the wraparound schedule since the 2013-14 season and has averaged 195 points per start. Dustin Johnson (five starts) is next at 185.6, followed by Patrick Cantlay (six starts, 164.3 average), then Thomas. Reigning PGA TOUR Player of the Year Brooks Koepka is fifth on the list (12 starts, 109.2 average).
Hot start bodes well for Charles Howell III in FedExCup
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Corales Puntacana Championship | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Justin Lower | +220 |
Wesley Bryan | +375 |
Greyson Sigg | +1000 |
Davis Thompson | +1800 |
Charley Hoffman | +2200 |
Billy Horschel | +2500 |
Kevin Tway | +3000 |
Alex Smalley | +3500 |
Pierceson Coody | +3500 |
Chan Kim | +4000 |
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3rd Round 2-Balls – K. Kisner / G. Woodland | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Gary Woodland | -130 |
Kevin Kisner | +140 |
Tie | +750 |
The Chevron Championship | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Nelly Korda | +135 |
Atthaya Thitikul | +375 |
Jin Hee Im | +900 |
Hae Ran Ryu | +1200 |
Lydia Ko | +2500 |
Shin Sil Bang | +2500 |
Xiyu Lin | +3000 |
Maja Stark | +3500 |
Minami Katsu | +4000 |
Lauren Coughlin | +5000 |
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3rd Round 2-Balls – K. Bradley / L. Hodges | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Keegan Bradley | -140 |
Lee Hodges | +150 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – J. Knapp / C. Davis | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Cam Davis | -110 |
Jake Knapp | +120 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – J. Rose / T. Fleetwood | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Justin Rose | +165 |
Tommy Fleetwood | -150 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – M. Pavon / A. Schenk | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Adam Schenk | +100 |
Matthieu Pavon | +110 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – G. Murray / S. Lowry | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Grayson Murray | +160 |
Shane Lowry | -145 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – Kurt Kitayama / M. Homa | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Kurt Kitayama | +130 |
Max Homa | -120 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – E. Barnes / E. Grillo | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Emiliano Grillo | -115 |
Erik Barnes | +125 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – N. Taylor / W. Simpson | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Nick Taylor | +100 |
Webb Simpson | +110 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – H. English / R. Fowler | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Harris English | -120 |
Rickie Fowler | +130 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – P. Malnati / C. Conners | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Corey Conners | -130 |
Peter Malnati | +145 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – S. Burns / A. Putnam | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Andrew Putnam | +130 |
Sam Burns | -120 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – A. Tosti / T. Finau | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Alejandro Tosti | +160 |
Tony Finau | -145 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – D. McCarthy / B. Harman | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Brian Harman | +105 |
Denny McCarthy | +105 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – C. Bezuidenhout / B. Todd | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Brendon Todd | +110 |
Christiaan Bezuidenhout | +100 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – L. Glover / W. Clark | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Lucas Glover | +125 |
Wyndham Clark | -115 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – C. Young / E. Cole | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Cameron Young | -120 |
Eric Cole | +130 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – E. Van Rooyen / A. Svensson | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Adam Svensson | +105 |
Erik Van Rooyen | +105 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – W. Zalatoris / T. Moore | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Taylor Moore | +125 |
Will Zalatoris | -115 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – C. Phillips / A. Bhatia | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Akshay Bhatia | -145 |
Chandler Phillips | +160 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – J. Spieth / J. Thomas | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Jordan Spieth | -105 |
Justin Thomas | +115 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – J. Day / S.W. Kim | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Jason Day | +120 |
Si Woo Kim | -110 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – A. Hadwin / B. Garnett | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Adam Hadwin | -130 |
Brice Garnett | +140 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – C. Kirk / R. Henley | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Chris Kirk | +115 |
Russell Henley | -105 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – M. Fitzpatrick / X. Schauffele | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Matt Fitzpatrick | +135 |
Xander Schauffele | -125 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – A. Eckroat / T. Detry | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Austin Eckroat | +105 |
Thomas Detry | +105 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – S. Im / R. McIIroy | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Rory McIlroy | -140 |
Sungjae Im | +150 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – T. Kim / S. Power | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Seamus Power | +165 |
Tom Kim | -150 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – S. Scheffler / S. Jaeger | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | -230 |
Stephan Jaeger | +260 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – S. Theegala / B. Hun An | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Byeong Hun An | +115 |
Sahith Theegala | -105 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – M. Hughes / P. Cantlay | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Mackenzie Hughes | +180 |
Patrick Cantlay | -165 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – P. Rodgers / L. Aberg | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Ludvig Aberg | -180 |
Patrick Rodgers | +200 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – C. Morikawa / J.T. Poston | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Collin Morikawa | -135 |
J.T. Poston | +150 |
Tie | +750 |
3rd Round 2-Balls – T. Hoge / S. Straka | |
Type: Including Tie – Status: OPEN | |
Sepp Straka | +100 |
Tom Hoge | +110 |
Tie | +750 |
Tiger Woods Retirement | |
Type: To announce retirement in 2024 – Status: OPEN | |
No | -650 |
Yes | +400 |
To Join LIV Golf | |
Type: To Join LIV – Status: OPEN | |
No | -2500 |
Yes | +1000 |
Adelaide | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Jon Rahm | +600 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +900 |
Joaquin Niemann | +1100 |
Cameron Smith | +1200 |
Talor Gooch | +1200 |
Tyrrell Hatton | +1200 |
Dustin Johnson | +2000 |
Abraham Ancer | +2200 |
Brooks Koepka | +2200 |
Louis Oosthuizen | +2200 |
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PGA Championship 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +400 |
Jon Rahm | +1200 |
Rory McIlroy | +1200 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1600 |
Brooks Koepka | +2000 |
Xander Schauffele | +2000 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +2500 |
Collin Morikawa | +2500 |
Max Homa | +2500 |
Patrick Cantlay | +2500 |
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US Open 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +400 |
Jon Rahm | +1200 |
Rory McIlroy | +1200 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1600 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Viktor Hovland | +2000 |
Brooks Koepka | +2500 |
Cameron Smith | +2500 |
Patrick Cantlay | +2500 |
Xander Schauffele | +2500 |
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The Open Championship 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +500 |
Jon Rahm | +1000 |
Rory McIlroy | +1000 |
Viktor Hovland | +1100 |
Brooks Koepka | +2000 |
Cameron Smith | +2000 |
Cameron Young | +2000 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Ludvig Aberg | +2000 |
Jordan Spieth | +2500 |
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Requests | |
Type: Requests – Status: OPEN | |
The Open Championship – Alex Noren – Top 20 Finish | +200 |
Solheim Cup 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
USA | -140 |
Europe | +135 |
Tie | +1200 |
Ryder Cup 2025 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
USA | -135 |
Europe | +135 |
Tie | +1000 |