2022 The RSM Classic, Round 1 Scoring Conditions: Sea Island Resort (Seaside): -3.69 strokes per round Sea Island Resort (Plantation): -3.3 strokes per round Current cutline (top 65 and ties): 82 players at -4 or better (T55) Top 3 projected cutline probabilities: 1. 6 under par: 40.0% 2. 5 under par: 27.2% 3. 7 under par: 21.3% Top 10 win probabilities: 1. Corey Conners (T6, -8, 10.6%) 2. Russell Henley (T6, -8, 7.8%) 3. Sebastian Munoz (1, -10, 7.8%) 4. Scottie Scheffler (T10, -7, 7.4%) 5. Mackenzie Hughes (T2, -9, 6.1%) 6. Talor Gooch (T6, -8, 5.5%) 7. Chez Reavie (T2, -9, 5.2%) 8. Cameron Smith (T21, -6, 4.3%) 9. Jhonattan Vegas (T6, -8, 4.0%) 10. Scott Stallings (T2, -9, 3.4%) NOTE: These reports are based off of the live predictive model run by @DataGolf. The model provides live “Make Cut”, “Top 20”, “Top 5”, and “Win” probabilities every 5 minutes from the opening tee shot to the final putt of every PGA TOUR event. Briefly, the model takes account of the current form of each golfer as well as the difficulty of their remaining holes, and probabilities are calculated from 20K simulations. To follow live finish probabilities throughout the remainder of The RSM Classic, or to see how each golfer’s probabilities have evolved from the start of the event to the current time, click here for the model’s home page.
Cut prediction: The RSM Classic
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1st Round 3 Balls – N. Lashley / S. Ryder / Z. Blair | |
Type: 1st Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Sam Ryder | +145 |
Nate Lashley | +160 |
Zac Blair | +230 |
1st Round 3 Balls – A. Long / J. Vegas / A. Noren | |
Type: 1st Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Alex Noren | +100 |
Jhonattan Vegas | +230 |
Adam Long | +260 |
1st Round Match-Up – B. Silverman v N. Lashley | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Nate Lashley | -115 |
Ben Silverman | -105 |
1st Round 3 Balls – C. Phillips / C. Gotterup / H. Springer | |
Type: 1st Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Chandler Phillips | +160 |
Chris Gotterup | +170 |
Hayden Springer | +190 |
1st Round 3 Balls – B. Silverman / P. Barjon / K. Ventura | |
Type: 1st Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Ben Silverman | +115 |
Paul Barjon | +210 |
Kris Ventura | +230 |
Tournament Match-Up – B. Silverman vs C. Gotterup | |
Type: Tournament Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Ben Silverman | -115 |
Chris Gotterup | -115 |
1st Round Match-Up – C. Phillips v C. Gotterup | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Chris Gotterup | -115 |
Chandler Phillips | -105 |
1st Round 3 Balls – E. Barnes / T. Crowe / W. Furr | |
Type: 1st Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Erik Barnes | +145 |
Trace Crowe | +185 |
Wilson Furr | +200 |
1st Round 3 Balls – N. Lindheim / A. Dumont De Chassart / K. Dougherty | |
Type: 1st Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Adrien Dumont de Chassart | +175 |
Kevin Dougherty | +175 |
Nicholas Lindheim | +175 |
1st Round 3 Balls – E. Gonzalez / H. Endycott / V. Perez | |
Type: 1st Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Victor Perez | +120 |
Harrison Endycott | +185 |
Emilio Gonzalez | +250 |
1st Round 3 Balls – R. MacIntyre / R. Campos / R. Pereda | |
Type: 1st Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Robert MacIntyre | +110 |
Rafael Campos | +170 |
Raul Pereda | +320 |
1st Round Match-Up – V. Perez v R. MacIntyre | |
Type: 1st Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Victor Perez | -115 |
Robert MacIntyre | -105 |
1st Round 3 Balls – J. Campillo / R. Hoey / R. Gibson | |
Type: 1st Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Jorge Campillo | +140 |
Rico Hoey | +140 |
Rhein Gibson | +275 |
1st Round 3 Balls – A. Nordqvist / A Lim Kim / Y. Saso | |
Type: 1st Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Yuka Saso | +130 |
A Lim Kim | +170 |
Anna Nordqvist | +250 |
1st Round 3 Balls – M. Stark / J. Kupcho / J. Shin | |
Type: 1st Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Jenny Shin | +130 |
Maja Stark | +200 |
Jennifer Kupcho | +210 |
1st Round 3 Balls – L. Vu / N. Hataoka / A. Furue | |
Type: 1st Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Ayaka Furue | +170 |
Lilia Vu | +175 |
Nasa Hataoka | +180 |
1st Round 3 Balls – N. Korda / C. Boutier / L. Ko | |
Type: 1st Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Nelly Korda | +130 |
Lydia Ko | +190 |
Celine Boutier | +220 |
1st Round 3 Balls – L. Grant / H.J. Kim / R. Zhang | |
Type: 1st Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Hyo Joo Kim | +170 |
Linn Grant | +175 |
Rose Zhang | +180 |
Hero Indian Open | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Jordan Smith | +650 |
Joost Luiten | +750 |
Keita Nakajima | +750 |
Matteo Manassero | +1100 |
Ewen Ferguson | +1400 |
Sam Bairstow | +1400 |
Adrian Otaegui | +1600 |
Romain Langasque | +1600 |
Fabrizio Zanotti | +2800 |
Alex Fitzpatrick | +3000 |
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2nd Round 3 Balls – D. Ravetto / A. Sandhu / P. Figueiredo | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
David Ravetto | +110 |
Ajeetesh Sandhu | +185 |
Pedro Figueiredo | +275 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – S. Baisoya / D. Lawson / R. Gouveia | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Ricardo Gouveia | +165 |
Deyen Lawson | +170 |
Sachin Baisoya | +185 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – R. Khan / D. Van Tonder / Y. Sandhu | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Daniel Van Tonder | +120 |
Rashid Khan | +180 |
Yuvraj Sandhu | +250 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – J. Goth-Rasmussen / J. Lyras / K. Pratap Singh | |
Type: 1st Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
John Lyras | +170 |
Jonathan Goth-Rasmussen | +175 |
Karan Pratap Singh | +175 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – E. Kofstad / L. Scalise / J. Weon Ko | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Jeong Weon Ko | +130 |
Lorenzo Scalise | +150 |
Espen Kofstad | +280 |
2nd Round Match-Up – S. Bairstow v A Fitzpatrick | |
Type: 2nd Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Alex Fitzpatrick | -120 |
Sam Bairstow | +100 |
2nd Round Match-Up – J. Luiten v R. Cabrera Bello | |
Type: 2nd Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Joost Luiten | -165 |
Rafa Cabrera Bello | +125 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – R. Cabrera Bello / A. Fitzpatrick / S. Kapur | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Alex Fitzpatrick | -115 |
Rafa Cabrera Bello | +180 |
Shiv Kapur | +400 |
2nd Round Match-Up – J. Veerman v M. Kieffer | |
Type: 2nd Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Johannes Veerman | -110 |
Maximillian Kieffer | -110 |
2nd Round Match-Up – J. Morrison v T. Lewis | |
Type: 2nd Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
James Morrison | -110 |
Tom Lewis | -110 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – J. Veerman / A. Hidalgo / J. Morrison | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Angel Hidalgo | +150 |
Johannes Veerman | +170 |
James Morrison | +210 |
2nd Round Match-Up – M. Kawamura v A. Sullivan | |
Type: 2nd Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Andy Sullivan | -120 |
Masahiro Kawamura | +100 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – E. Ferguson / M. Kieffer / A. Sullivan | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Ewen Ferguson | +125 |
Andy Sullivan | +175 |
Maximilian Kieffer | +250 |
2nd Round Match-Up – C. Jarvis v M. Penge | |
Type: 2nd Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Casey Jarvis | -135 |
Marco Penge | +105 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – M. Penge / M. Kinhult / L. Nemecz | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Lukas Nemecz | +165 |
Marco Penge | +170 |
Marcus Kinhult | +190 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – J. Parry / D. Hillier / S. Bairstow | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Sam Bairstow | +130 |
Daniel Hillier | +180 |
John Parry | +225 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – M. Schneider / C. Jarvis / M. Schwab | |
Type: 2nd Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Matthias Schwab | +150 |
Casey Jarvis | +180 |
Marcel Schneider | +190 |
2nd Round 3 Balls – M. Kawamura / F. Lacroix / K. Kobori | |
Type: 1st Round 3 Balls – Status: OPEN | |
Frederic Lacroix | +130 |
Masahiro Kawamura | +180 |
Kazuma Kobori | +225 |
2nd Round Match-Up – B. Stone v G. Migliozzi | |
Type: 2nd Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Guido Migliozzi | -125 |
Brandon Stone | +105 |
2nd Round Match-Up – S. Sharma v A. Otaegui | |
Type: 2nd Round Match-Up – Status: OPEN | |
Adrian Otaegui | -120 |
Shubankar Sharma | +100 |
The Galleri Classic | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Steve Stricker | +350 |
Steven Alker | +650 |
Miguel Angel Jimenez | +1100 |
Jerry Kelly | +1200 |
Stephen Ames | +1400 |
Ernie Els | +1600 |
Alex Cejka | +1800 |
Brian Gay | +2000 |
KJ Choi | +2500 |
Kevin Sutherland | +2500 |
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Major Specials 2024 | |
Type: To Win A Major 2024 – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +125 |
Jon Rahm | +225 |
Rory McIlroy | +225 |
Viktor Hovland | +225 |
Brooks Koepka | +350 |
Ludvig Aberg | +350 |
Patrick Cantlay | +400 |
Collin Morikawa | +450 |
Justin Thomas | +450 |
Wyndham Clark | +450 |
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The Masters 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +450 |
Rory McIlroy | +1100 |
Jon Rahm | +1200 |
Brooks Koepka | +1800 |
Jordan Spieth | +2000 |
Xander Schauffele | +2000 |
Hideki Matsuyama | +2500 |
Joaquin Niemann | +2500 |
Justin Thomas | +2500 |
Ludvig Aberg | +2500 |
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PGA Championship 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +700 |
Jon Rahm | +1000 |
Rory McIlroy | +1000 |
Viktor Hovland | +1400 |
Brooks Koepka | +1600 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +2000 |
Patrick Cantlay | +2000 |
Wyndham Clark | +2000 |
Xander Schauffele | +2000 |
Cameron Smith | +2500 |
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US Open 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +700 |
Rory McIlroy | +800 |
Jon Rahm | +900 |
Viktor Hovland | +1000 |
Cameron Smith | +1600 |
Brooks Koepka | +1800 |
Cameron Young | +2000 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Ludvig Aberg | +2000 |
Patrick Cantlay | +2000 |
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The Open Championship 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
Scottie Scheffler | +800 |
Jon Rahm | +1000 |
Rory McIlroy | +1000 |
Viktor Hovland | +1100 |
Brooks Koepka | +2000 |
Cameron Smith | +2000 |
Cameron Young | +2000 |
Collin Morikawa | +2000 |
Jordan Spieth | +2500 |
Ludvig Aberg | +2500 |
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Solheim Cup 2024 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
USA | -140 |
Europe | +135 |
Tie | +1200 |
Ryder Cup 2025 | |
Type: Winner – Status: OPEN | |
USA | -135 |
Europe | +135 |
Tie | +1000 |